Arid
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.03.290
Impact of anthropogenic climate change and human activities on environment and ecosystem services in arid regions
Mahmoud, Shereif H.; Gan, Thian Y.
通讯作者Mahmoud, Shereif H.
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
出版年2018
卷号633页码:1329-1344
英文摘要

The implications of anthropogenic climate change, human activities and land use change (LUC) on the environment and ecosystem services in the coastal regions of Saudi Arabia were analyzed. Earth observations data was used to drive land use categories between 1970 and 2014. Next, a Markov-CA model was developed to characterize the dynamic of LUC between 2014 and 2100 and their impacts on regions’ climate and environment. Non-parametric change point and trend detection algorithms were applied to temperature, precipitation and greenhouse gases data to investigate the presence of anthropogenic climate change. Lastly, climate models were used to project future climate change between 2014 and 2100. The analysis of LUC revealed that between 1970 and 2014, built up areas experienced the greatest growth during the study period, leading to a significant monotonic trend. Urban areas increased by 2349.61 km(2) between 1970 and 2014, an average increase of >53.4 km(2)/yr. The projected LUC between 2014 and 2100 indicate a continued increase in urban areas and irrigated cropland. Human alteration of land use from natural vegetation and forests to other uses after 1970, resulted in a loss, degradation, and fragmentation, all of which usually have devastating effects on the biodiversity of the region. Resulting in a statistically significant change point in temperature anomaly after 1968 with a warming trend of 0.24 degrees C/decade and a downward trend in precipitation anomaly of 12.2 mm/decade. Total greenhouse gas emissions including all anthropogenic sources showed a statistically significant positive trend of 78,090 Kt/decade after 1991. This is reflected in the future projection of temperature anomaly between 1900 and 2100 with a future warming trend of 0.19 degrees C/decade. In conclusion, human activities, industrial revelation, deforestation, land use transformation and increase in greenhouse gases had significant implications on the environment and ecosystem services of the study area. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Anthropogenic climate change, land use change Markov-CA Human activities Environment Deforestation
类型Article
语种英语
国家Canada
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000432475300129
WOS关键词LAND-COVER CHANGE ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATON ; PAPIO-HAMADRYAS ; URBAN-GROWTH ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; CHALLENGES ; TRENDS ; GIS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/212962
作者单位Univ Alberta, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton, AB T6G 2G7, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mahmoud, Shereif H.,Gan, Thian Y.. Impact of anthropogenic climate change and human activities on environment and ecosystem services in arid regions[J],2018,633:1329-1344.
APA Mahmoud, Shereif H.,&Gan, Thian Y..(2018).Impact of anthropogenic climate change and human activities on environment and ecosystem services in arid regions.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,633,1329-1344.
MLA Mahmoud, Shereif H.,et al."Impact of anthropogenic climate change and human activities on environment and ecosystem services in arid regions".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 633(2018):1329-1344.
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