Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10113-018-1291-0 |
The impact of global change on economic values of water for Public Irrigation Schemes at the Sao Francisco River Basin in Brazil | |
Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Marcia Maria1,2; Biewald, Anne3; Guimaraes Carneiro, Ana Cristina4; Souza da Silva, Gerald Norbert5; Popp, Alexander3; Lotze-Campen, Hermann3,6 | |
通讯作者 | Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Marcia Maria |
来源期刊 | REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
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ISSN | 1436-3798 |
EISSN | 1436-378X |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 18期号:7页码:1943-1955 |
英文摘要 | Economic values of water for the main Public Irrigation Schemes in the sub-middle region of the Sao Francisco River Basin, in northeastern Brazil, are determined in this study using an integration of a global agro-economic land and water use (MAgPIE) with a local economic model (Positive Mathematical Programming). As in the latter, the water values depend on the crops grown, and as Brazilian agriculture is strongly influenced by the global market, we used a regionalized version of the global model adapted to the region in order to simulate the crop land use, which is in turn determined by changes in global demand, trade barriers, and climate. The allocation of sugarcane and fruit crops projected with climate change by the global model, showed an impact on the average yields and on the water costs in the main schemes resulting in changes in the water values locally. The economic values for all schemes in the baseline year were higher than the water prices established for agricultural use in the basin. In the future, these water values will be higher in all the schemes. The highest water values currently and in the future were identified in municipalities with a significant proportion of area growing irrigated sugarcane. Being aware of current water values of each user in a baseline year and in a projected future under global climate and socioeconomic changes, decision makers should improve water allocation policies at local scale, in order to avoid conflicts and unsustainable development in the future. |
英文关键词 | Economic value of water Water pricing Sao Francisco River Basin Semi-arid region Positive mathematical programming Global model |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Brazil ; Germany |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445234600006 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE ; AGRICULTURAL WATER ; MODELS ; CONSERVATION ; SCARCITY ; DEMAND |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/212578 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Fed Pernambuco, Dept Econ, Av Economistas S-N Cidade Univ, BR-50740590 Recife, PE, Brazil; 2.Univ Fed Pernambuco, Grad Program, Av Economistas S-N Cidade Univ, BR-50740590 Recife, PE, Brazil; 3.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, POB 601 203, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany; 4.Univ Fed Pernambuco, Recife, PE, Brazil; 5.Univ Fed Pernambuco, Grad Program Civil Engn, Recife, PE, Brazil; 6.Humboldt Univ, D-10099 Berlin, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Marcia Maria,Biewald, Anne,Guimaraes Carneiro, Ana Cristina,et al. The impact of global change on economic values of water for Public Irrigation Schemes at the Sao Francisco River Basin in Brazil[J],2018,18(7):1943-1955. |
APA | Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Marcia Maria,Biewald, Anne,Guimaraes Carneiro, Ana Cristina,Souza da Silva, Gerald Norbert,Popp, Alexander,&Lotze-Campen, Hermann.(2018).The impact of global change on economic values of water for Public Irrigation Schemes at the Sao Francisco River Basin in Brazil.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,18(7),1943-1955. |
MLA | Guedes Alcoforado de Moraes, Marcia Maria,et al."The impact of global change on economic values of water for Public Irrigation Schemes at the Sao Francisco River Basin in Brazil".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 18.7(2018):1943-1955. |
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