Arid
DOI10.1007/s11069-017-2893-4
Mongolian herders’ vulnerability to dzud: a study of record livestock mortality levels during the severe 2009/2010 winter
Du, Chunling1,2; Shinoda, Masato2; Tachiiri, Kaoru3; Nandintsetseg, Banzragch2,4; Komiyama, Hiroshi5; Matsushita, Shusuke6
通讯作者Shinoda, Masato
来源期刊NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN0921-030X
EISSN1573-0840
出版年2018
卷号92页码:3-17
英文摘要

The livelihoods of people inhabiting inland Eurasia have long been jeopardized by repeated natural hazards associated with a harsh environment and a cold, arid climate. Dzud is a Mongolian word indicating harsh winter conditions. In the present study, we considered dzud damage (e.g., livestock loss) to result from a combination of climate hazard (e.g., cold surges) and herders’ socioeconomic vulnerability. For this study, we integrated crucial socioeconomic factors accounting for major spatiotemporal variations in Mongolia by applying principal component analysis (PCA) to a comprehensive province-level, multiyear dataset. We subsequently characterized the regionality of herders’ vulnerability to the dzud event that occurred during the 2009/2010 winter by conducting a cluster analysis of the provincial principal component (PC) scores for the pre-dzud year (2009). Our results revealed a distinct geographical pattern of vulnerability. Herding households in the northern and northeastern (relatively wet and plain) areas were found to be well prepared for harsh winters, with shelters against wind and availability of forage, including hay, as well as easy access to major urban markets. By contrast, herding households in the southern and southwestern (arid and mountainous) areas were poorly prepared, with inadequate circumstances that facilitate pursuing of otor (movement of nomadic herders in search of better pastures) and lack of access to markets and dzud relief support because of their remote locations. The time coefficients of PC 2, related to winter preparedness, indicated that vulnerability increased between 2003 and 2009 (the pre-dzud year). This was partly responsible for the record-level mortality observed in 2010 across the southern and southwestern rural region, in conjunction with harsh winter weathers.


英文关键词Dzud Socioeconomic factors snow disaster Livestock Mortality
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; Japan ; Mongolia
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000450655600002
WOS关键词LIVELIHOODS ; CLIMATE ; DISASTER ; DROUGHT ; RISK
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/211764
作者单位1.Inner Mongolia Agr Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Hohhot, Peoples R China;
2.Nagoya Univ, Grad Sch Environm Studies, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan;
3.Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan;
4.Informat & Res Inst Meteorol Hydrol & Environm, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia;
5.Japan Int Res Ctr Agr Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan;
6.Univ Tsukuba, Fac Life & Environm Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Du, Chunling,Shinoda, Masato,Tachiiri, Kaoru,等. Mongolian herders’ vulnerability to dzud: a study of record livestock mortality levels during the severe 2009/2010 winter[J],2018,92:3-17.
APA Du, Chunling,Shinoda, Masato,Tachiiri, Kaoru,Nandintsetseg, Banzragch,Komiyama, Hiroshi,&Matsushita, Shusuke.(2018).Mongolian herders’ vulnerability to dzud: a study of record livestock mortality levels during the severe 2009/2010 winter.NATURAL HAZARDS,92,3-17.
MLA Du, Chunling,et al."Mongolian herders’ vulnerability to dzud: a study of record livestock mortality levels during the severe 2009/2010 winter".NATURAL HAZARDS 92(2018):3-17.
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