Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.03.040
Impacts of correcting the inter-variable correlation of climate model outputs on hydrological modeling
Chen, Jie1; Li, Chao2; Brissette, Francois P.3; Chen, Hua1; Wang, Mingna4; Essou, Gilles R. C.3
通讯作者Chen, Jie
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2018
卷号560页码:326-341
英文摘要

Bias correction is usually implemented prior to using climate model outputs for impact studies. However, bias correction methods that are commonly used treat climate variables independently and often ignore inter-variable dependencies. The effects of ignoring such dependencies on impact studies need to be investigated. This study aims to assess the impacts of correcting the inter-variable correlation of climate model outputs on hydrological modeling. To this end, a joint bias correction (JBC) method which corrects the joint distribution of two variables as a whole is compared with an independent bias correction (IBC) method; this is considered in terms of correcting simulations of precipitation and temperature from 26 climate models for hydrological modeling over 12 watersheds located in various climate regimes. The results show that the simulated precipitation and temperature are considerably biased not only in the individual distributions, but also in their correlations, which in turn result in biased hydrological simulations. In addition to reducing the biases of the individual characteristics of precipitation and temperature, the JBC method can also reduce the bias in precipitation-temperature (P-T) correlations. In terms of hydrological modeling, the JBC method performs significantly better than the IBC method for 11 out of the 12 watersheds over the calibration period. For the validation period, the advantages of the JBC method are greatly reduced as the performance becomes dependent on the watershed, GCM and hydrological metric considered. For arid/tropical and snowfall-rainfall-mixed watersheds, JBC performs better than IBC. For snowfall- or rainfall-dominated watersheds, however, the two methods behave similarly, with IBC performing somewhat better than JBC. Overall, the results emphasize the advantages of correcting the P-T correlation when using climate model-simulated precipitation and temperature to assess the impact of climate change on watershed hydrology. However, a thorough validation and a comparison with other methods are recommended before using the JBC method, since it may perform worse than the IBC method for some cases due to bias nonstationarity of climate model outputs. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Climate change impacts Bias correction Inter-variable correlation Climate model Hydrology
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000430882300025
WOS关键词CONTERMINOUS UNITED-STATES ; BIAS CORRECTION METHODS ; LAND-SURFACE FLUXES ; STREAMFLOW PREDICTION ; DOWNSCALING METHODS ; DAILY PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; SIMULATION ; UNCERTAINTY ; PERFORMANCE
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/211059
作者单位1.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, 299 Bayi Rd, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China;
2.Stanford Univ, Dept Global Ecol, Carnegie Inst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA;
3.Univ Quebec, Dept Construct Engn, Ecole Technol Super, 1100 Rue Notre Dame Ouest, Montreal, PQ H3C 1K3, Canada;
4.China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, Dept Water Resources, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Chen, Jie,Li, Chao,Brissette, Francois P.,et al. Impacts of correcting the inter-variable correlation of climate model outputs on hydrological modeling[J],2018,560:326-341.
APA Chen, Jie,Li, Chao,Brissette, Francois P.,Chen, Hua,Wang, Mingna,&Essou, Gilles R. C..(2018).Impacts of correcting the inter-variable correlation of climate model outputs on hydrological modeling.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,560,326-341.
MLA Chen, Jie,et al."Impacts of correcting the inter-variable correlation of climate model outputs on hydrological modeling".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 560(2018):326-341.
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