Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.02.019
An analytical approach to separate climate and human contributions to basin streamflow variability
Li Changbin1; Wang Liuming1; Wang Wanrui1; Qi Jiaguo2; Yang Linshan3; Zhang Yuan1; Wu Lei1; Cui Xia1; Wang Peng4
通讯作者Li Changbin
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY
ISSN0022-1694
EISSN1879-2707
出版年2018
卷号559页码:30-42
英文摘要

Climate variability and anthropogenic regulations are two interwoven factors in the ecohydrologic system across large basins. Understanding the roles that these two factors play under various hydrologic conditions is of great significance for basin hydrology and sustainable water utilization. In this study, we present an analytical approach based on coupling water balance method and Budyko hypothesis to derive effectiveness coefficients (ECs) of climate change, as a way to disentangle contributions of it and human activities to the variability of river discharges under different hydro-transitional situations. The climate dominated streamflow change (Delta Q(c)) by EC approach was compared with those deduced by the elasticity method and sensitivity index. The results suggest that the EC approach is valid and applicable for hydrologic study at large basin scale. Analyses of various scenarios revealed that contributions of climate change and human activities to river discharge variation differed among the regions of the study area. Over the past several decades, climate change dominated hydro-transitions from dry to wet, while human activities played key roles in the reduction of streamflow during wet to dry periods. Remarkable decline of discharge in upstream was mainly due to human interventions, although climate contributed more to runoff increasing during dry periods in the semi-arid downstream. Induced effectiveness on streamflow changes indicated a contribution ratio of 49% for climate and 51% for human activities at the basin scale from 1956 to 2015. The mathematic derivation based simple approach, together with the case example of temporal segmentation and spatial zoning, could help people understand variation of river discharge with more details at a large basin scale under the background of climate change and human regulations. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Effectiveness coefficients Streamflow variation Climate change Human activities Contribution
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000430902000003
WOS关键词WATER-BALANCE ; RIVER-BASIN ; VEGETATION CHANGES ; IMPACTS ; RUNOFF ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; CATCHMENT ; DISCHARGE ; MODEL ; SUSTAINABILITY
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
来源机构兰州大学 ; 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/211053
作者单位1.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China;
2.Michigan State Univ, Ctr Global Change & Earth Observat, E Lansing, MI 48823 USA;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China;
4.Yellow River Conservancy Commiss, Hydrol Bur, Zhengzhou 450004, Henan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li Changbin,Wang Liuming,Wang Wanrui,et al. An analytical approach to separate climate and human contributions to basin streamflow variability[J]. 兰州大学, 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2018,559:30-42.
APA Li Changbin.,Wang Liuming.,Wang Wanrui.,Qi Jiaguo.,Yang Linshan.,...&Wang Peng.(2018).An analytical approach to separate climate and human contributions to basin streamflow variability.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY,559,30-42.
MLA Li Changbin,et al."An analytical approach to separate climate and human contributions to basin streamflow variability".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY 559(2018):30-42.
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