Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.08.006 |
Multi-step ahead forecasting of daily global and direct solar radiation: A review and case study of Ghardaia region | |
Guermoui, Mawloud1; Melgani, Farid2; Danilo, Celine2 | |
通讯作者 | Guermoui, Mawloud |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
![]() |
ISSN | 0959-6526 |
EISSN | 1879-1786 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 201页码:716-734 |
英文摘要 | Accurate estimation of solar radiation components of a specific location has been one of the most important issues of solar energy applications. In this paper, a new approach, named Weighted Gaussian Process Regression (WGPR), is developed for multi-step ahead forecasting of daily global and direct horizontal solar radiation components in Saharan climate. The WGPR is tested using global and direct solar radiation data recorded over three years (2013-2015) in a semi-arid region in Algeria. It consists of forecasting 10-steps ahead for both components with automatic selection of relevant climatic data. In this respect two different architectures of WGPR are proposed, WGPR Parallel Forecasting Architecture (WGPR-PFA) and WGPR Cascade Forecasting Architecture (WGPR-CFA). The proposed approach proved to be effective with respect to the basic GPR in terms of accuracy and processing time for daily global and direct solar radiation forecasting. Forecasting with WGPR-CFA led to error RMSE = 3.18 (MJ/m(2)) and correlation coefficient r(2) = 85.85 (%) for the 10th daily global horizontal radiation, and RMSE = 5.23 (MJ/m(2)) and correlation coefficient r(2) = 56.21(%) for 10th daily direct horizontal radiation. The achieved results specify that the developed WGPR approach can be adjudged as an efficient machine learning model for accurate forecasting of solar radiation components. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Solar resource estimation Forecasting Global solar radiation Direct solar radiation Gaussian process regression |
类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Algeria ; Italy |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445981200062 |
WOS关键词 | SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE ; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION ; EXTREME LEARNING-MACHINE ; HYBRID MODEL ; MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION ; GENERATING SEQUENCES ; DIFFUSE ; IRRADIANCE ; PREDICTION |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/210757 |
作者单位 | 1.Ctr Dev Energies Renouvelables, Unite Rech Appl Energies Renouvelables, Ghardaia 47133, Algeria; 2.Univ Trento, Dept Informat Engn & Comp Sci, Via Sommar 9, I-38123 Trento, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guermoui, Mawloud,Melgani, Farid,Danilo, Celine. Multi-step ahead forecasting of daily global and direct solar radiation: A review and case study of Ghardaia region[J],2018,201:716-734. |
APA | Guermoui, Mawloud,Melgani, Farid,&Danilo, Celine.(2018).Multi-step ahead forecasting of daily global and direct solar radiation: A review and case study of Ghardaia region.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,201,716-734. |
MLA | Guermoui, Mawloud,et al."Multi-step ahead forecasting of daily global and direct solar radiation: A review and case study of Ghardaia region".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 201(2018):716-734. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。