Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.5766
Divergent responses of thermal growing degree-days and season to projected warming over China
Deng, Haoyu1,2; Yin, Yunhe1; Wu, Shaohong1,2
通讯作者Yin, Yunhe
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2018
卷号38期号:15页码:5605-5618
英文摘要

Thermal conditions, such as thermal growing degree-days (GDD) and growing season (GS), have primary effects on vegetation growth. In this study, changes in GDD and GS during 1961-2099 in China have been projected using the daily mean temperatures derived from five general circulation models. The multi-model mean values generally capture the spatio-temporal changes in GDD and GS during 1961-2005 and are thus used for predicting the thermal conditions in the 21st century under the representative concentration pathway scenarios (RCPs). The GDD and GS are found to increase with warming, with stronger GDD enhancement in south and southwest China and larger GS extension in the eastern and southern parts of the Tibetan Plateau. On average, nationally, the GDD increase and GS extension in the long term (2071-2099) range from 279.1 degrees C.d and 16.5 days for RCP 2.6 to 964.4 degrees C.d and 50.3 days for RCP 8.5, relative to 1981-2010. Advances in the start of the growing season would drive the GS extension in the mountainous area in northeast China, as well as south and southwest China. On the contrary, the delay at the end of the growing season would drive the GS extension in northwest China and the regions between northeast China and the tropic of Cancer. An analysis under RCP 8.5 suggests that the temperature sensitivity of GDD would increase from the near term (2011-2040) to the long term for the eastern monsoon zone (237.5 to 262.1 degrees C.d/degrees C) and the northwest arid/semi-arid zone (162.3 to 184.0 degrees C.d/degrees C). However, the sensitivity of GS to the warming would decrease from 10.9 to 8.4 days/degrees C and 9.1 to 6.8 days/degrees C for these two regions, respectively. As thermal conditions intensify, temperature zones in eastern China would progressively shift northward.


英文关键词China climate change growing season temperature sensitivity thermal growing degree-days
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000452432200012
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; TRENDS ; LENGTH ; PHENOLOGY ; IMPACT ; CMIP5 ; REGION ; FOREST ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/210166
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Deng, Haoyu,Yin, Yunhe,Wu, Shaohong. Divergent responses of thermal growing degree-days and season to projected warming over China[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2018,38(15):5605-5618.
APA Deng, Haoyu,Yin, Yunhe,&Wu, Shaohong.(2018).Divergent responses of thermal growing degree-days and season to projected warming over China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,38(15),5605-5618.
MLA Deng, Haoyu,et al."Divergent responses of thermal growing degree-days and season to projected warming over China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 38.15(2018):5605-5618.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Deng, Haoyu]的文章
[Yin, Yunhe]的文章
[Wu, Shaohong]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Deng, Haoyu]的文章
[Yin, Yunhe]的文章
[Wu, Shaohong]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Deng, Haoyu]的文章
[Yin, Yunhe]的文章
[Wu, Shaohong]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。