Arid
DOI10.1109/JPHOTOV.2018.2870532
Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements
Lindig, Sascha1,2; Kaaya, Ismail3; Weiss, Karl-Anders3; Moser, David1; Topic, Marko2
通讯作者Lindig, Sascha
来源期刊IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS
ISSN2156-3381
出版年2018
卷号8期号:6页码:1773-1786
英文摘要

In this work, we investigate practical approaches of available degradation models and their usage in photovoltaic (PV) modules and systems. On the one hand, degradation prediction of models is described for the calculation of degradation at system level where the degradation mode is unknown and hence the physics cannot be included by the use of analytical models. Several statistical models are thus described and applied for the calculation of the performance loss using as case study two PV systems, installed in Bolzano/Italy. Namely, simple linear regression (SLR), classical seasonal-decomposition, seasonal-and trend-decomposition using Loess (STL), Holt-Winters exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) are discussed. The performance loss results show that SLR produces results with highest uncertainties. In comparison, STL and ARIMA perform with the highest accuracy, whereby STL is favored because of its easier implementation. On the other hand, if monitoring data at PV module level are available in controlled conditions, analytical models can be applied. Several analytical models depending on different degradations modes are thus discussed. A comparison study is carried out for models proposed for corrosion. Although the results of the models in question agree in explanation of experimental observations, a big difference in degradation prediction was observed. Finally, a model proposed for potential induced degradation was applied to simulate the degradation of PV systems maximum power in three climatic zones: alpine (Zugspitze, Germany), maritime (Gran Canaria, Spain), and arid (Negev, Israel). As expected, a more severe degradation is predicted for arid climates.


英文关键词Degradation models performance loss photo-voltaic (PV) modules PV systems service life prediction
类型Article
语种英语
国家Italy ; Slovenia ; Germany
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000448898400051
WOS关键词POTENTIAL-INDUCED DEGRADATION ; SILICON PV MODULES ; SOLAR-CELLS ; PERFORMANCE ; TEMPERATURE ; HUMIDITY ; IMPACT
WOS类目Energy & Fuels ; Materials Science, Multidisciplinary ; Physics, Applied
WOS研究方向Energy & Fuels ; Materials Science ; Physics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/209973
作者单位1.EURAC Res, Inst Renewable Energy, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bolzano, Italy;
2.Univ Ljubljana, Fac Engn, Ljubljana 1000, Slovenia;
3.Fraunhofer Inst Solar Energy Syst, D-79110 Freiburg, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Lindig, Sascha,Kaaya, Ismail,Weiss, Karl-Anders,et al. Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements[J],2018,8(6):1773-1786.
APA Lindig, Sascha,Kaaya, Ismail,Weiss, Karl-Anders,Moser, David,&Topic, Marko.(2018).Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements.IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS,8(6),1773-1786.
MLA Lindig, Sascha,et al."Review of Statistical and Analytical Degradation Models for Photovoltaic Modules and Systems as Well as Related Improvements".IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS 8.6(2018):1773-1786.
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