Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10040-017-1636-7 |
Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India | |
Wable, Pawan S.; Jha, Madan K. | |
通讯作者 | Wable, Pawan S. ; Jha, Madan K. |
来源期刊 | HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL
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ISSN | 1431-2174 |
EISSN | 1435-0157 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 26期号:1页码:89-108 |
英文摘要 | The effects of rainfall and the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on groundwater in a semi-arid basin of India were analyzed using Archimedean copulas considering 17 years of data for monsoon rainfall, post-monsoon groundwater level (PMGL) and ENSO Index. The evaluated dependence among these hydro-climatic variables revealed that PMGL-Rainfall and PMGL-ENSO Index pairs have significant dependence. Hence, these pairs were used for modeling dependence by employing four types of Archimedean copulas: Ali-Mikhail-Haq, Clayton, Gumbel-Hougaard, and Frank. For the copula modeling, the results of probability distributions fitting to these hydro-climatic variables indicated that the PMGL and rainfall time series are best represented by Weibull and lognormal distributions, respectively, while the non-parametric kernel-based normal distribution is the most suitable for the ENSO Index. Further, the PMGL-Rainfall pair is best modeled by the Clayton copula, and the PMGL-ENSO Index pair is best modeled by the Frank copula. The Clayton copula-based conditional probability of PMGL being less than or equal to its average value at a given mean rainfall is above 70% for 33% of the study area. In contrast, the spatial variation of the Frank copula-based probability of PMGL being less than or equal to its average value is 35-40% in 23% of the study area during El Nio phase, while it is below 15% in 35% of the area during the La Nia phase. This copula-based methodology can be applied under data-scarce conditions for exploring the impacts of rainfall and ENSO on groundwater at basin scales. |
英文关键词 | Archimedean copulas Groundwater vulnerability El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Climate change India |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | India |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000423051600008 |
WOS关键词 | FLOOD FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; TIME-SERIES ; EL-NINO ; VARIABILITY ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; RECHARGE ; DROUGHTS ; RIVER |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/209866 |
作者单位 | IIT Kharagpur, Agr & Food Engn Dept, Kharagpur 721302, W Bengal, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wable, Pawan S.,Jha, Madan K.. Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India[J],2018,26(1):89-108. |
APA | Wable, Pawan S.,&Jha, Madan K..(2018).Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India.HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL,26(1),89-108. |
MLA | Wable, Pawan S.,et al."Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India".HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL 26.1(2018):89-108. |
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