Arid
DOI10.1007/s10040-017-1636-7
Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India
Wable, Pawan S.; Jha, Madan K.
通讯作者Wable, Pawan S. ; Jha, Madan K.
来源期刊HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL
ISSN1431-2174
EISSN1435-0157
出版年2018
卷号26期号:1页码:89-108
英文摘要

The effects of rainfall and the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on groundwater in a semi-arid basin of India were analyzed using Archimedean copulas considering 17 years of data for monsoon rainfall, post-monsoon groundwater level (PMGL) and ENSO Index. The evaluated dependence among these hydro-climatic variables revealed that PMGL-Rainfall and PMGL-ENSO Index pairs have significant dependence. Hence, these pairs were used for modeling dependence by employing four types of Archimedean copulas: Ali-Mikhail-Haq, Clayton, Gumbel-Hougaard, and Frank. For the copula modeling, the results of probability distributions fitting to these hydro-climatic variables indicated that the PMGL and rainfall time series are best represented by Weibull and lognormal distributions, respectively, while the non-parametric kernel-based normal distribution is the most suitable for the ENSO Index. Further, the PMGL-Rainfall pair is best modeled by the Clayton copula, and the PMGL-ENSO Index pair is best modeled by the Frank copula. The Clayton copula-based conditional probability of PMGL being less than or equal to its average value at a given mean rainfall is above 70% for 33% of the study area. In contrast, the spatial variation of the Frank copula-based probability of PMGL being less than or equal to its average value is 35-40% in 23% of the study area during El Nio phase, while it is below 15% in 35% of the area during the La Nia phase. This copula-based methodology can be applied under data-scarce conditions for exploring the impacts of rainfall and ENSO on groundwater at basin scales.


英文关键词Archimedean copulas Groundwater vulnerability El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Climate change India
类型Article
语种英语
国家India
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000423051600008
WOS关键词FLOOD FREQUENCY-ANALYSIS ; TIME-SERIES ; EL-NINO ; VARIABILITY ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; RECHARGE ; DROUGHTS ; RIVER
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/209866
作者单位IIT Kharagpur, Agr & Food Engn Dept, Kharagpur 721302, W Bengal, India
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wable, Pawan S.,Jha, Madan K.. Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India[J],2018,26(1):89-108.
APA Wable, Pawan S.,&Jha, Madan K..(2018).Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India.HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL,26(1),89-108.
MLA Wable, Pawan S.,et al."Application of Archimedean copulas to the impact assessment of hydro-climatic variables in semi-arid aquifers of western India".HYDROGEOLOGY JOURNAL 26.1(2018):89-108.
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