Arid
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aade09
Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks
Gonzalez, Patrick1,2,3; Wang, Fuyao4; Notaro, Michael4; Vimont, Daniel J.4,5; Williams, John W.4,6
通讯作者Gonzalez, Patrick
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2018
卷号13期号:10
英文摘要

Anthropogenic climate change is altering ecological and human systems globally, including in United States (US) national parks, which conserve unique biodiversity and resources. Yet, the magnitude and spatial patterns of climate change across all the parks have been unknown. Here, in the first spatial analysis of historical and projected temperature and precipitation across all 417 US national parks, we show that climate change exposes the national park area more than the US as a whole. This occurs because extensive parts of the national park area are in the Arctic, at high elevations, or in the arid southwestern US. Between 1895 and 2010, mean annual temperature of the national park area increased 1.0 degrees C +/- 0.2 degrees C century(-1) (mean +/- standard error), double the US rate. Temperature has increased most in Alaska and its extensive national parks. Annual precipitation of the national park area declined significantly on 12% of national park area, compared to 3% of the US. Higher temperatures due to climate change have coincided with low precipitation in the southwestern US, intensifying droughts in the region. Physical and ecological changes have been detected and attributed mainly to anthropogenic climate change in areas of significant temperature increases in US national parks. From 2000 to 2100, under the highest emissions scenario (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 8.5), park temperatures would increase 3 degrees C-9 degrees C, with climate velocities outpacing dispersal capabilities of many plant and animal species. Even under the scenario of reduced emissions (RCP2.6), temperature increases could exceed 2 degrees C for 58% of national park area, compared to 22% of the US. Nevertheless, greenhouse gas emissions reductions could reduce projected temperature increases in national parks by one-half to two-thirds.


英文关键词anthropogenic climate change biodiversity natural resource management protected areas
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000445610800001
WOS关键词SIERRA-NEVADA ; TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION ; CONSERVATION ; VELOCITY ; TRENDS ; CALIFORNIA ; PATTERNS ; DROUGHT ; SHIFTS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构University of California, Berkeley
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/209108
作者单位1.Natl Pk Serv, Nat Resource Stewardship & Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA;
2.Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Environm Sci Policy & Management, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA;
3.Univ Calif Berkeley, Inst Pk People & Biodivers, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA;
4.Univ Wisconsin, Nelson Inst Ctr Climat Res, Madison, WI USA;
5.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Madison, WI USA;
6.Univ Wisconsin, Dept Geog, Madison, WI 53706 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Gonzalez, Patrick,Wang, Fuyao,Notaro, Michael,et al. Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks[J]. University of California, Berkeley,2018,13(10).
APA Gonzalez, Patrick,Wang, Fuyao,Notaro, Michael,Vimont, Daniel J.,&Williams, John W..(2018).Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(10).
MLA Gonzalez, Patrick,et al."Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.10(2018).
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