Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s12665-018-7712-z |
Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia | |
Lukic, Tin1,6; Bjelajac, Dajana1; Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E.2,3; Markovic, Slobodan B.1; Basarin, Biljana1; Mladan, Dragan4; Micic, Tanja1; Schaetzl, Randall J.5; Gavrilov, Milivoj B.1; Milanovic, Misko6; Sipos, Gyorgy7; Mezosi, Gabor7; Knezevic-Lukic, Nevenka4; Milincic, Miroljub6; Letal, Ales8; Samardzic, Ivan6 | |
通讯作者 | Lukic, Tin |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES |
ISSN | 1866-6280 |
EISSN | 1866-6299 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 77期号:13 |
英文摘要 | Among the numerous factors that trigger landslide events, the anthropogenic impact caused by inadequate planning and faulty land use in urban areas is increasing. The Zemun settlement on the northern outskirts of Belgrade has experienced a number of landslides in the last three decades, endangering buildings and roads, and claiming human lives, particularly in the case of the 2010/2011 landslides. Selected meteorological parameters were used to calculate rainfall erosivity indices such as Precipitation Concentration Index and Modified Fournier Index over the period 1991-2015. Drought indices, Lang aridity index and Palfai Drought Index were calculated as well. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to identify potential rising and/or declining trends both in meteorological parameters and calculated indices. Trend analysis of the annual and seasonal scales yielded a statistically significant trend in the spring time series. Stable arid and pronounced drought conditions were recorded. The modified Fournier index based on monthly mean values yields moderate aggressiveness, with several extreme values indicating very high erosivity classes, especially for 2010/2011. The geological substrate is predominantly loess and hence highly susceptible to erosion and slope failure when climatological conditions are suitable. Accelerated urbanization at the end of the last century reduced vegetation cover, intensified pressure on the vertical loess slope, and lacked suitable rain drainage systems so that surface-water runoff was directed into the porous loess, thereby endangering slope stability. We proposed a geomorphic model to describe the nature of the erosional processes on the loess cliffs of the Zemun loess plateau. Results from this study have implications for mitigation strategies. |
英文关键词 | Rainfall erosivity Aridity Loess Landslide Hazard Zemun loess plateau |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Serbia ; Germany ; USA ; Hungary ; Czech Republic |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000437868400002 |
WOS关键词 | PALEOSOL SEQUENCE ; TEMPERATURE TRENDS ; RAINFALL EROSIVITY ; VOJVODINA REGION ; DROUGHT HAZARD ; PRECIPITATION ; NORTH ; PREVENTION ; MITIGATION ; BRICKYARD |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/209000 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Novi Sad, Dept Geog Tourism & Hotel Management, Fac Sci, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 3, Novi Sad 21000, Serbia; 2.Max Planck Inst Chem, Res Grp Terr Palaeoclimates, Hahn Meitner Weg 1, D-55128 Mainz, Germany; 3.Max Planck Inst Evolutionary Anthropol, Dept Human Evolut, Deutsch Pl 6, D-04103 Leipzig, Germany; 4.Acad Criminalist & Police Studies, Cara Dusana 196, Zemun 11080, Serbia; 5.Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog, 128 Geog Bldg, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA; 6.Univ Belgrade, Fac Geog, Dept Geospatial Bases Environm, Belgrade 11000, Serbia; 7.Univ Szeged, Dept Phys Geog & Geoinformat, Szeged, Hungary; 8.Palacky Univ, Inst Geog, Olomouc, Czech Republic |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lukic, Tin,Bjelajac, Dajana,Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E.,et al. Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia[J],2018,77(13). |
APA | Lukic, Tin.,Bjelajac, Dajana.,Fitzsimmons, Kathryn E..,Markovic, Slobodan B..,Basarin, Biljana.,...&Samardzic, Ivan.(2018).Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia.ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES,77(13). |
MLA | Lukic, Tin,et al."Factors triggering landslide occurrence on the Zemun loess plateau, Belgrade area, Serbia".ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES 77.13(2018). |
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