Arid
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.10.071
Spatially heterogeneous stressors can alter the performance of indicators of regime shifts
Genin, Alexandre1; Majumder, Sabiha2; Sankaran, Sumithra3; Schneider, Florian D.1,4; Danet, Alain1; Berdugo, Miguel5; Guttal, Vishwesha3; Kefi, Sonia1
通讯作者Kefi, Sonia
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
ISSN1470-160X
EISSN1872-7034
出版年2018
卷号94页码:520-533
英文摘要

Mathematical models together with empirical tests suggest that it may be possible to detect leading indicators, or early warnings, of approaching shifts in ecosystems. Previous studies have often relied on ecological systems where the stressor (e.g. temperature, precipitation) is assumed to act homogeneously in space. Many ecological systems are, however, prone to spatially heterogeneous stresses (or ’spatial stressors’), such as grazing, whose strength varies as a function of local vegetation patchiness. Here, we employed three well-studied spatially explicit ecological models to investigate how spatial stressors influence (a) the dynamics and resilience of ecosystems and (b) the robustness of early warnings of approaching ecosystem shifts. Mean-field and numerical simulations of the models suggested that spatial stressors could affect the stability and the number of equilibria of the system. Trends of spatial and temporal indicators were broadly consistent with the theory, i.e. they exhibited increasing trends as the system approached ecosystem shifts. However, in two of the three models, at high levels of spatial stress, spatial indicators could either exhibit trends opposite to those expected by the theory, or show no signals at all. Our results suggest that spatial stressors can interfere with the spatial patterns and thereby with the theoretically expected trends of early warning signals of ecosystem shifts. This highlights, once again, the importance of having a good knowledge of the ecosystem under study to be able to accurately interpret the indicator trends observed.


英文关键词Early warning signals Critical slowing down Tipping points Critical transition Catastrophic shift Spatial pattern Patch size distribution
类型Article
语种英语
国家France ; India ; Germany ; Spain
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000452692500053
WOS关键词PATCH-SIZE DISTRIBUTION ; EARLY-WARNING SIGNALS ; SUITABLE INDICATOR ; VEGETATION PATTERNS ; CATASTROPHIC SHIFTS ; GENERIC INDICATORS ; LEADING INDICATOR ; SLOWING-DOWN ; DESERTIFICATION ; DISTRIBUTIONS
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/208752
作者单位1.Univ Montpellier, ISEM, CNRS, IRD,EPHE, Montpellier, France;
2.Indian Inst Sci, Dept Phys, Bengaluru 560012, India;
3.Indian Inst Sci, Ctr Ecol Sci, Bengaluru 560012, India;
4.Senckenberg Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr BiK F, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany;
5.Univ Rey Juan Carlos, Dept Biol & Geol, Escuela Super Ciencias Expt & Tecnol, Fis & Quim Inorgan, C Tulipan S-N, Mostoles 28933, Spain
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Genin, Alexandre,Majumder, Sabiha,Sankaran, Sumithra,et al. Spatially heterogeneous stressors can alter the performance of indicators of regime shifts[J]. French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development,2018,94:520-533.
APA Genin, Alexandre.,Majumder, Sabiha.,Sankaran, Sumithra.,Schneider, Florian D..,Danet, Alain.,...&Kefi, Sonia.(2018).Spatially heterogeneous stressors can alter the performance of indicators of regime shifts.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,94,520-533.
MLA Genin, Alexandre,et al."Spatially heterogeneous stressors can alter the performance of indicators of regime shifts".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 94(2018):520-533.
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