Arid
DOI10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.09.058
Investigating impact of emission inventories on PM(2.5 )simulations over North China Plain by WRF-Chem
Ma, Xiaoyan; Sha, Tong; Wang, Jianying; Jia, Hailing; Tian, Rong
通讯作者Ma, Xiaoyan
来源期刊ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
ISSN1352-2310
EISSN1873-2844
出版年2018
卷号195页码:125-140
英文摘要

Anthropogenic air pollutant emissions have been increasing rapidly in China, leading to severe heavy haze events. In order to predict PM2.5 concentrations accurately, the emissions of precursor gases and primary particles are quite critical but remains large uncertainty. In this study we firstly compared the emissions of precursor gases and primary particles such as sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), ammonia (NH3), carbon monoxide (CO), black carbon (BC), organic compounds (OC), non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs), PM(2.5 )and PM10, in three emission inventories (EIs) including INTEX-B (representing the year 2006), MEIC10 arid MEIC12 (representing the year 2010 and 2012) over North China Plain (NCP), one of the most polluted regions in China. It is found that annual total emissions of SO2 decreased 34% (26%) from INTEX-B to MEIC10 (MEIC12), possibly due to effective control and improvement of fuel combustion efficiency conducted in recent years. The NOx emissions increased 53% (58%) from INTEX-B to MEIC10 (MEIC12), and the major contributor to NOx was replaced from power in INTEX-B by industry in MEIC10/12. The VOCs emissions in MEIC10/12 are 21.1% lower than in INTEX-B possibly due to tightened emission standards and operating conditions. The simulations with three EIs, based on WRF-Chem, generally reproduced the observed seasonal variation of PM2.5 concentrations, i.e. high in winter and autumn but low in spring and summer. The spatial distribution from the simulations are overall in good agreement with each other, and the differences less than 20 mu g m(-3) in most regions. The maximums by the simulations with three EIs occur in autumn due to very low wind speed despite the highest emissions in winter. Comparisons in four representative cities indicate that the simulations are quite close to observations in April and July, but overestimate in October and December in all cities exception in Baoding, especially with INTEX-B. Large bias with INTEX-B is possibly because the simulations are compared with observations in 2014 while INTEX-B represents the emission of 2006 year which is more far away from 2014. A quantitative assessment by conducting statistical analysis gave evidence that the simulations with three EIs do not exhibit significant difference in temporal variations, in terms of correlation coefficients, standard deviation, and root-mean-square difference. Therefore, MEIC inventories are suitable for simulations of PM2.5 concentrations for recent years, while INTEX-B might be better for a climate study to simulate the condition decade ago. Temporal variations can be basically well reproduced by either INTEX-B or MEIC10/12 inventories.


英文关键词Emission inventory PM2.5 WRF-Chem North china Plain
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000450383000011
WOS关键词YANGTZE-RIVER DELTA ; AIR-POLLUTANTS ; MODEL ; HAZE ; TRENDS ; PERFORMANCE ; PARTICLES ; CHEMISTRY ; TRANSPORT ; POLLUTION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构南京信息工程大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/207948
作者单位Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Key Lab Aerosol Cloud Precipitat China Meteorol A, Joint Int Res Lab Climate & Environm Change ILCEC, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster,Minist Educ KLME,CIC FE, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
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Ma, Xiaoyan,Sha, Tong,Wang, Jianying,et al. Investigating impact of emission inventories on PM(2.5 )simulations over North China Plain by WRF-Chem[J]. 南京信息工程大学,2018,195:125-140.
APA Ma, Xiaoyan,Sha, Tong,Wang, Jianying,Jia, Hailing,&Tian, Rong.(2018).Investigating impact of emission inventories on PM(2.5 )simulations over North China Plain by WRF-Chem.ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT,195,125-140.
MLA Ma, Xiaoyan,et al."Investigating impact of emission inventories on PM(2.5 )simulations over North China Plain by WRF-Chem".ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT 195(2018):125-140.
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