Arid
DOI10.1016/j.agsy.2017.10.015
Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana
Amadou, Mahamadou L.1,5; Villamor, Grace B.2,3; Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas4
通讯作者Amadou, Mahamadou L.
来源期刊AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
ISSN0308-521X
EISSN1873-2267
出版年2018
卷号166页码:196-209
英文摘要

In West Africa, the majority of regional climate projections for the region predict that the study area will become warmer and that precipitation patterns will be more erratic. The aim of this article is to examine local agricultural adaptation to climate change and variability in a semi-arid area of the Upper East Region of Ghana. This is performed by integrating the two-step decision making sub-models, Perception-of-Climate-Change and Adaptation-Choice-Strategies, to the Land Use Dynamic Simulator (LUDAS). The simulation results suggest that the land-use choices in the study area reflect a tendency towards increasing subsistence farming in an area where there has been a gradual trend away from traditional land uses such as cereal production to the cultivation of groundnut, rice, maize and soybean. Groundnut monoculture production has emerged locally as coping measure for dealing with increased climatic variability. In terms of livelihood strategy, there is an increasing contribution of rice and groundnut to household gross incomes. The predicted pattern of changes in gross household income under a scenario in which climate change is perceived by local farmers explicitly revealed the contribution of adaptation options to household livelihood strategy.


英文关键词Agent-based model Climate change Decision malting model Heterogeneous farm households SKY-LUDAS Subsistence farming
类型Article
语种英语
国家Niger ; Germany ; USA ; Ghana
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000446145000017
WOS关键词ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; DYNAMICS ; VARIABILITY ; PROTOCOL ; SUMATRA ; SCIENCE ; SYSTEMS ; CHINA
WOS类目Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Agriculture
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/207341
作者单位1.AGRHYMET Reg Ctr, Niamey, Niger;
2.Univ Bonn, Ctr Dev Res ZEF, Bonn, Germany;
3.Univ Idaho, Ctr Resilient Communities, Moscow, ID 83843 USA;
4.Kwame Nkrumah Univ Sci & Technol, Agr Engn, Kumasi, Ghana;
5.CRS, Niamey, Niger
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Amadou, Mahamadou L.,Villamor, Grace B.,Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas. Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana[J],2018,166:196-209.
APA Amadou, Mahamadou L.,Villamor, Grace B.,&Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas.(2018).Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana.AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS,166,196-209.
MLA Amadou, Mahamadou L.,et al."Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana".AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS 166(2018):196-209.
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