Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.agsy.2017.10.015 |
Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana | |
Amadou, Mahamadou L.1,5; Villamor, Grace B.2,3; Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas4 | |
通讯作者 | Amadou, Mahamadou L. |
来源期刊 | AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS
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ISSN | 0308-521X |
EISSN | 1873-2267 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 166页码:196-209 |
英文摘要 | In West Africa, the majority of regional climate projections for the region predict that the study area will become warmer and that precipitation patterns will be more erratic. The aim of this article is to examine local agricultural adaptation to climate change and variability in a semi-arid area of the Upper East Region of Ghana. This is performed by integrating the two-step decision making sub-models, Perception-of-Climate-Change and Adaptation-Choice-Strategies, to the Land Use Dynamic Simulator (LUDAS). The simulation results suggest that the land-use choices in the study area reflect a tendency towards increasing subsistence farming in an area where there has been a gradual trend away from traditional land uses such as cereal production to the cultivation of groundnut, rice, maize and soybean. Groundnut monoculture production has emerged locally as coping measure for dealing with increased climatic variability. In terms of livelihood strategy, there is an increasing contribution of rice and groundnut to household gross incomes. The predicted pattern of changes in gross household income under a scenario in which climate change is perceived by local farmers explicitly revealed the contribution of adaptation options to household livelihood strategy. |
英文关键词 | Agent-based model Climate change Decision malting model Heterogeneous farm households SKY-LUDAS Subsistence farming |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Niger ; Germany ; USA ; Ghana |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000446145000017 |
WOS关键词 | ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; DYNAMICS ; VARIABILITY ; PROTOCOL ; SUMATRA ; SCIENCE ; SYSTEMS ; CHINA |
WOS类目 | Agriculture, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Agriculture |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/207341 |
作者单位 | 1.AGRHYMET Reg Ctr, Niamey, Niger; 2.Univ Bonn, Ctr Dev Res ZEF, Bonn, Germany; 3.Univ Idaho, Ctr Resilient Communities, Moscow, ID 83843 USA; 4.Kwame Nkrumah Univ Sci & Technol, Agr Engn, Kumasi, Ghana; 5.CRS, Niamey, Niger |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Amadou, Mahamadou L.,Villamor, Grace B.,Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas. Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana[J],2018,166:196-209. |
APA | Amadou, Mahamadou L.,Villamor, Grace B.,&Kyei-Baffour, Nicholas.(2018).Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana.AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS,166,196-209. |
MLA | Amadou, Mahamadou L.,et al."Simulating agricultural land-use adaptation decisions to climate change: An empirical agent-based modelling in northern Ghana".AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS 166(2018):196-209. |
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