Arid
DOI10.1080/03031853.2017.1409128
Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin
Mainardi, Stefano
通讯作者Mainardi, Stefano
来源期刊AGREKON
ISSN0303-1853
EISSN2078-0400
出版年2018
卷号57期号:1页码:1-27
英文摘要

Studies on perceptions of, and adaptation responses to, climate change have not paid sufficient attention to location and neighbourhood effects. Moreover, although one often regards perceptions as preconditions for adaptation, some direct and underlying factors may influence perceptions and adaptations in opposite ways. To assess determinants of perceived directions of climate change and adaptations by farmers, the paper formulates ordered response and multinomial choice models accounting for the location and neighbourhood effects. Relative to a survey of rural households in the Ethiopian Nile basin, perceptions of long-term climate trends are found to substantially vary across regions, altitudes, distances from markets, and neighbourhood characteristics, with climate reference scales being themselves non-uniform across respondents. The inclusion of proxies for local spatial dependence and clustering in multinomial logit regressions on adaptation decisions provides further insights, relative to individual- and farm-specific features. Adaptation measures turn out to be largely independent from degree of awareness of negative trends in climate changes. This highlights the importance of adaptive strategies coordinated at regional and national scale, such as preventive measures of control of pest damage risk due to increasing temperatures, and specific interventions for semi-arid agro-climatic zones.


英文关键词perceived climate trends and adaptation to climate change hierarchical ordered responses discrete choice models location neighbourhood effects and spatial clustering
类型Article
语种英语
国家Czech Republic
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000430801700001
WOS关键词SOUTH-AFRICA ; FARMERS ADAPTATION ; ETHIOPIA ; VARIABILITY ; IMPACT ; DETERMINANTS ; STRATEGIES ; INFERENCE ; MODELS
WOS类目Agricultural Economics & Policy
WOS研究方向Agriculture
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/207302
作者单位VSB Tech Univ Ostrava, Dept Appl Econ, Sokolska Trida 33, Ostrava, Czech Republic
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Mainardi, Stefano. Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin[J],2018,57(1):1-27.
APA Mainardi, Stefano.(2018).Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin.AGREKON,57(1),1-27.
MLA Mainardi, Stefano."Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin".AGREKON 57.1(2018):1-27.
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