Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1080/03031853.2017.1409128 |
Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin | |
Mainardi, Stefano | |
通讯作者 | Mainardi, Stefano |
来源期刊 | AGREKON
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ISSN | 0303-1853 |
EISSN | 2078-0400 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 57期号:1页码:1-27 |
英文摘要 | Studies on perceptions of, and adaptation responses to, climate change have not paid sufficient attention to location and neighbourhood effects. Moreover, although one often regards perceptions as preconditions for adaptation, some direct and underlying factors may influence perceptions and adaptations in opposite ways. To assess determinants of perceived directions of climate change and adaptations by farmers, the paper formulates ordered response and multinomial choice models accounting for the location and neighbourhood effects. Relative to a survey of rural households in the Ethiopian Nile basin, perceptions of long-term climate trends are found to substantially vary across regions, altitudes, distances from markets, and neighbourhood characteristics, with climate reference scales being themselves non-uniform across respondents. The inclusion of proxies for local spatial dependence and clustering in multinomial logit regressions on adaptation decisions provides further insights, relative to individual- and farm-specific features. Adaptation measures turn out to be largely independent from degree of awareness of negative trends in climate changes. This highlights the importance of adaptive strategies coordinated at regional and national scale, such as preventive measures of control of pest damage risk due to increasing temperatures, and specific interventions for semi-arid agro-climatic zones. |
英文关键词 | perceived climate trends and adaptation to climate change hierarchical ordered responses discrete choice models location neighbourhood effects and spatial clustering |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Czech Republic |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000430801700001 |
WOS关键词 | SOUTH-AFRICA ; FARMERS ADAPTATION ; ETHIOPIA ; VARIABILITY ; IMPACT ; DETERMINANTS ; STRATEGIES ; INFERENCE ; MODELS |
WOS类目 | Agricultural Economics & Policy |
WOS研究方向 | Agriculture |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/207302 |
作者单位 | VSB Tech Univ Ostrava, Dept Appl Econ, Sokolska Trida 33, Ostrava, Czech Republic |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mainardi, Stefano. Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin[J],2018,57(1):1-27. |
APA | Mainardi, Stefano.(2018).Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin.AGREKON,57(1),1-27. |
MLA | Mainardi, Stefano."Location factors and spatial dependence in household perceptions and adaptations to climate change: A case in the upper Blue Nile Basin".AGREKON 57.1(2018):1-27. |
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