干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): 全球环境变化对我国区域发展的可能影响评述

Arid

	全球环境变化对我国区域发展的可能影响评述
其他题名	An Assessment of Global Environmental Change and its Impacts on the Regional Development in China
	吕新苗; 吴绍洪; 杨勤业
来源期刊	地理科学进展
ISSN	1007-6301
出版年	2003
卷号	22 期号:3 页码:260-269
中文摘要	随着环境问题的日益突出，全球环境变化的区域响应已成为我国全球变化研究的优先领域和热点重要之一，国内外学者就全球问题与区域问题的结合达成共识；全球性问题的研究需要由区域工作来完成，区域性研究必须体现了全球性问题。本文介绍了全球变化对区域发展影响评价的基本方法，特别是IPCC评价报告中采用的区域脆弱性、敏感性凭借方法、概述了我国未来50年环境变化的可能情景；从自然生态系统变化、水资源短缺、沙漠化、农业生产等方面评述了全球环境变化对我国区域发展可能影响研究的进展和成果，最后指出了全球变化区域响应研究存在的问题。并对其发展方向作了展望
英文摘要	Worldwide concern about possible climate change resulting from increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases has led governments and researchers to consider international action to address the issue, and the regional response to the climate change has be?come the priority field of global environmental change in China. Researchers have gradually gained’a common understanding about the combining of global and regional issues; the global environmental change issues could not be solved unless it is supported by regional studies t and on the other hand, the regional studies should necessarily incarnate the global issues. This paper introduced the essential methods of assessing regional response to climate change, especially the regional vulnerability and adaptation assessment method that has been widely employed in IPCC’s assessment reports. The major climate scenarios in the next fifty years in China were summarized on the basis of the related literature. Then the author assessed the recent researchhow the global environmental change impacts the regional development, including natural ecosystem, water resource shortage, desertification problems and agriculture industry development. Further research was pointed out, however, to strengthen future assessment and to reduce uncertainties in order to assure that sufficient information is available for policymaking about responses to possible consequences of climate change.
中文关键词	全球变化 ; 区域发展 ; 响应 ; 评述
英文关键词	global environmental change regional development potential impacts assessment
语种	中文
国家	中国
收录类别	CSCD
WOS类目	GEOSCIENCES MULTIDISCIPLINARY
WOS研究方向	Geology
CSCD记录号	CSCD:1304872
来源机构	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/203892
作者单位	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101, 中国
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	吕新苗,吴绍洪,杨勤业. 全球环境变化对我国区域发展的可能影响评述[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2003,22(3):260-269.
APA	吕新苗,吴绍洪,&杨勤业.(2003).全球环境变化对我国区域发展的可能影响评述.地理科学进展,22(3),260-269.
MLA	吕新苗,et al."全球环境变化对我国区域发展的可能影响评述".地理科学进展 22.3(2003):260-269.