Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-017-1638-1
Quantitative Trend, Sensitivity and Contribution Analyses of Reference Evapotranspiration in some Arid Environments under Climate Change
Nouri, Milad1; Homaee, Mehdi2; Bannayan, Mohammad3
通讯作者Homaee, Mehdi
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2017
卷号31期号:7页码:2207-2224
英文摘要

The temporal trend of reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) and contribution of associated meteorological factors to the ET0 trend were assessed for 17 arid areas. Sensitivity of ET0 to changes in key meteorological variables was also analyzed. To study temporal trend of ET0, Mann-Kendall trend test was employed. Quantitative contribution and sensitivity analyses were carried out, respectively, using a dimensionless relative sensitivity coefficient and detrending method. Results indicated that ET0 has an increasing trend in 70.6, 64.7, 70.6, 76.5 and 70.0%, of sites respectively, in winter, spring, summer, autumn and entire year. This positive trend was significant (p <= 0.05) in 47.0, 35.3, 35.3, 29.4 and 35.3% of sites, respectively, for the same seasons. There was a significant change-point in winter, spring, summer, autumn and annual ET0 series at 64.7, 52.9, 64.7, 64.7 and 82.3% of stations, respectively. In 35.3 and 35.3% of sites, solar radiation and wind speed were the most sensitive climatic factors on ET0, respectively. ET0 exhibited the highest sensitivity to the relative humidity changes in coastal sites. Changes of wind speed contributed much more than other factors to the annual ET0 trend in 58.8% of investigated sites. The negative trend in wind speed nearly nullified the positive effects of increased air temperature on ET0 over 1966-2012 in 23.5% of stations. Changes in ET0 were attributed to wind speed changes in most locations. Given the upward trend of ET0 in the majority of locations, proper water management is required to avoid negative impacts of climate change in arid regions.


英文关键词Detrending Global warming Sensitivity coefficient Watermanagement
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000399306200010
WOS关键词REFERENCE CROP EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES ; PAN EVAPORATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; CHINA ; IRAN ; PRECIPITATION ; CHALLENGE ; SALINITY ; EQUATION
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202882
作者单位1.Tarbiat Modares Univ, Fac Agr, Dept Soil Sci, POB 14115-336, Tehran, Iran;
2.Tarbiat Modares Univ, Fac Agr, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, POB 14115-336, Tehran, Iran;
3.Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Fac Agr, Dept Agron, POB 91775-1163, Mashhad, Iran
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nouri, Milad,Homaee, Mehdi,Bannayan, Mohammad. Quantitative Trend, Sensitivity and Contribution Analyses of Reference Evapotranspiration in some Arid Environments under Climate Change[J],2017,31(7):2207-2224.
APA Nouri, Milad,Homaee, Mehdi,&Bannayan, Mohammad.(2017).Quantitative Trend, Sensitivity and Contribution Analyses of Reference Evapotranspiration in some Arid Environments under Climate Change.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,31(7),2207-2224.
MLA Nouri, Milad,et al."Quantitative Trend, Sensitivity and Contribution Analyses of Reference Evapotranspiration in some Arid Environments under Climate Change".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 31.7(2017):2207-2224.
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