Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3390/w9080626 |
Forecasting of Industrial Water Demand Using Case-Based Reasoning-A Case Study in Zhangye City, China | |
Yang, Bohan; Zheng, Weiwei; Ke, Xinli | |
通讯作者 | Ke, Xinli |
来源期刊 | WATER
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ISSN | 2073-4441 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 9期号:8 |
英文摘要 | Forecasting the industrial water demand accurately is crucial for sustainable water resource management. This study investigates industrial water demand forecasting by case-based reasoning (CBR) in an arid area, with a case study of Zhangye, China. We constructed a case base with 420 original cases of 28 cities in China, extracted six attributes of the industrial water demand, and employed a back propagation neural network (BPN) to weight each attribute, as well as the grey incidence analysis (GIA) to calculate the similarities between target case and original cases. The forecasting values were calculated by weighted similarities. The results show that the industrial water demand of Zhangye in 2030, which is the t arget case, will reach 11.9 million tons. There are 10 original cases which have relatively high similarities to the target case. Furthermore, the case of Yinchuan, 2010, has the largest similarity, followed by Yinchuan, 2009, and Urumqi, 2009. We also made a comparison experiment in which case-based reasoning is more accurate than the grey forecast model and BPN in water demand forecasting. It is expected that the results of this study will provide references to water resources management and planning. |
英文关键词 | industrial water demand forecast case-based reasoning water resources management Zhangye city |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000408729200070 |
WOS关键词 | ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS ; LAND-USE CHANGE ; GENETIC ALGORITHMS ; FAULT-DIAGNOSIS ; PREDICTION ; DESIGN ; MODEL ; CONSUMPTION ; REGRESSION ; SELECTION |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202814 |
作者单位 | Huazhong Agr Univ, Coll Publ Adm, Wuhan 430070, Hubei, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Bohan,Zheng, Weiwei,Ke, Xinli. Forecasting of Industrial Water Demand Using Case-Based Reasoning-A Case Study in Zhangye City, China[J],2017,9(8). |
APA | Yang, Bohan,Zheng, Weiwei,&Ke, Xinli.(2017).Forecasting of Industrial Water Demand Using Case-Based Reasoning-A Case Study in Zhangye City, China.WATER,9(8). |
MLA | Yang, Bohan,et al."Forecasting of Industrial Water Demand Using Case-Based Reasoning-A Case Study in Zhangye City, China".WATER 9.8(2017). |
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