Arid
DOI10.3390/w9040241
Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran
Kamali, Bahareh1,2; Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand1,3; Yang, Hong1,4; Abbaspour, Karim C.1
通讯作者Kamali, Bahareh
来源期刊WATER
ISSN2073-4441
出版年2017
卷号9期号:4
英文摘要

Studies using Drought Hazard Indices (DHIs) have been performed at various scales, but few studies associated DHIs of different drought types with climate change scenarios. To highlight the regional differences in droughts at meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural levels, we utilized historic and future DHIs derived from the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), and Standardized SoilWater Index (SSWI), respectively. To calculate SPI, SRI, and SSWI, we used a calibrated Soil andWater Assessment Tool (SWAT) for the Karkheh River Basin (KRB) in Iran. Five bias-corrected Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios projected future climate. For each drought type, we aggregated drought severity and occurrence probability rate of each index into a unique DHI. Five historic droughts were identified with different characteristics in each type. Future projections indicated a higher probability of severe and extreme drought intensities for all three types. The duration and frequency of droughts were predicted to decrease in precipitation-based SPI. However, due to the impact of rising temperature, the duration and frequency of SRI and SSWI were predicted to intensify. The DHI maps of KRB illustrated the highest agricultural drought exposures. Our analyses provide a comprehensive way to monitor multilevel droughts complementing the existing approaches.


英文关键词SWAT drought hazard index future drought projection
类型Article
语种英语
国家Switzerland ; Iran
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000404556400011
WOS关键词HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHT ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; WATER-RESOURCES ; PRECIPITATION ; IMPACT ; RISK ; VARIABILITY ; INDEXES ; PART ; AREA
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202791
作者单位1.Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Eawag, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland;
2.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Univ Str 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland;
3.Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Dept Water Engn, AzadiSq, Mashhad 9177948974, Khorasan Razavi, Iran;
4.Univ Basel, Dept Environm Sci, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Kamali, Bahareh,Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand,Yang, Hong,et al. Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran[J],2017,9(4).
APA Kamali, Bahareh,Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand,Yang, Hong,&Abbaspour, Karim C..(2017).Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran.WATER,9(4).
MLA Kamali, Bahareh,et al."Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran".WATER 9.4(2017).
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