Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3390/w9040241 |
Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran | |
Kamali, Bahareh1,2; Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand1,3; Yang, Hong1,4; Abbaspour, Karim C.1 | |
通讯作者 | Kamali, Bahareh |
来源期刊 | WATER
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ISSN | 2073-4441 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 9期号:4 |
英文摘要 | Studies using Drought Hazard Indices (DHIs) have been performed at various scales, but few studies associated DHIs of different drought types with climate change scenarios. To highlight the regional differences in droughts at meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural levels, we utilized historic and future DHIs derived from the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), and Standardized SoilWater Index (SSWI), respectively. To calculate SPI, SRI, and SSWI, we used a calibrated Soil andWater Assessment Tool (SWAT) for the Karkheh River Basin (KRB) in Iran. Five bias-corrected Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios projected future climate. For each drought type, we aggregated drought severity and occurrence probability rate of each index into a unique DHI. Five historic droughts were identified with different characteristics in each type. Future projections indicated a higher probability of severe and extreme drought intensities for all three types. The duration and frequency of droughts were predicted to decrease in precipitation-based SPI. However, due to the impact of rising temperature, the duration and frequency of SRI and SSWI were predicted to intensify. The DHI maps of KRB illustrated the highest agricultural drought exposures. Our analyses provide a comprehensive way to monitor multilevel droughts complementing the existing approaches. |
英文关键词 | SWAT drought hazard index future drought projection |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Switzerland ; Iran |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404556400011 |
WOS关键词 | HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHT ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; WATER-RESOURCES ; PRECIPITATION ; IMPACT ; RISK ; VARIABILITY ; INDEXES ; PART ; AREA |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202791 |
作者单位 | 1.Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Eawag, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland; 2.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Environm Syst Sci, Univ Str 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland; 3.Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Dept Water Engn, AzadiSq, Mashhad 9177948974, Khorasan Razavi, Iran; 4.Univ Basel, Dept Environm Sci, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kamali, Bahareh,Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand,Yang, Hong,et al. Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran[J],2017,9(4). |
APA | Kamali, Bahareh,Kouchi, Delaram Houshmand,Yang, Hong,&Abbaspour, Karim C..(2017).Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran.WATER,9(4). |
MLA | Kamali, Bahareh,et al."Multilevel Drought Hazard Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios in Semi-Arid Regions-A Case Study of the Karkheh River Basin in Iran".WATER 9.4(2017). |
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