Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-015-1690-9
A new approach to identify the sensitivity and importance of physical parameters combination within numerical models using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) model as an example
Sun, Guodong1; Mu, Mu1,2
通讯作者Mu, Mu
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2017
卷号128期号:3-4页码:587-601
英文摘要

An important source of uncertainty, which causes further uncertainty in numerical simulations, is that residing in the parameters describing physical processes in numerical models. Therefore, finding a subset among numerous physical parameters in numerical models in the atmospheric and oceanic sciences, which are relatively more sensitive and important parameters, and reducing the errors in the physical parameters in this subset would be a far more efficient way to reduce the uncertainties involved in simulations. In this context, we present a new approach based on the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation related to parameter (CNOP-P) method. The approach provides a framework to ascertain the subset of those relatively more sensitive and important parameters among the physical parameters. The Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) dynamical global vegetation model was utilized to test the validity of the new approach in China. The results imply that nonlinear interactions among parameters play a key role in the identification of sensitive parameters in arid and semi-arid regions of China compared to those in northern, northeastern, and southern China. The uncertainties in the numerical simulations were reduced considerably by reducing the errors of the subset of relatively more sensitive and important parameters. The results demonstrate that our approach not only offers a new route to identify relatively more sensitive and important physical parameters but also that it is viable to then apply "target observations" to reduce the uncertainties in model parameters.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000399702200008
WOS关键词NONLINEAR OPTIMAL PERTURBATION ; LAND-SURFACE SCHEME ; SPRING PREDICTABILITY BARRIER ; DATA ASSIMILATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; UNCERTAINTY ESTIMATION ; METROPOLIS ALGORITHM ; GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION ; CO2 FERTILIZATION ; PREDICTIONS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202667
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Guodong,Mu, Mu. A new approach to identify the sensitivity and importance of physical parameters combination within numerical models using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) model as an example[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2017,128(3-4):587-601.
APA Sun, Guodong,&Mu, Mu.(2017).A new approach to identify the sensitivity and importance of physical parameters combination within numerical models using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) model as an example.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,128(3-4),587-601.
MLA Sun, Guodong,et al."A new approach to identify the sensitivity and importance of physical parameters combination within numerical models using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) model as an example".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 128.3-4(2017):587-601.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Sun, Guodong]的文章
[Mu, Mu]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Sun, Guodong]的文章
[Mu, Mu]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Sun, Guodong]的文章
[Mu, Mu]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。