Arid
DOI10.1007/s00477-017-1446-4
A stochastic rough-approximation water management model for supporting sustainable water-environment strategies in an irrigation district of arid region
Zeng, X. T.1,2; Huang, G. H.3,5; Zhang, J. L.4; Li, Y. P.5; You, L.6; Chen, Y.1; Hao, P. P.1
通讯作者Huang, G. H.
来源期刊STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT
ISSN1436-3240
EISSN1436-3259
出版年2017
卷号31期号:9页码:2183-2200
英文摘要

In this study, a stochastic rough-approximation water management model (SRAWM) associated with optimistic and pessimistic options is proposed for supporting regional sustainability in an irrigation system (IS) of an arid region with uncertain information. SRAWM can not only handle conventional stochastic variations in objective functions or constraints, but also tackle objective and subjective (i.e., risk performance of the decision maker) fuzziness through rough-approximation model based on measure Me. The developed model would be applied to a real case study of an irrigation district (ID) in Kaidu-kongque River Basin, China, which is encountering challenges in economic development and a serious environmental crisis (e.g., drought, water deficit, land deterioration, stalinization, soil erosion and water pollution) synchronously. Simulation technical (i.e., support vector regression) is put into SRAWM framework to reflect dynamic prediction of water demand in the future. Results of optimized irrigation area, water allocation, water deficit, pollution reduction, water and soil erosion and system benefit under various water-environmental policies (corresponding to various ecological effects) are obtained. Tradeoffs between ecological and irrigative water usages can facilitate the local decision makers rectifying the current irrigation patterns and ecological protection polices. Moreover, compromises between systemic benefit and failure risk can help policymakers to generate a robust risk-control plan under uncertainties. These detections are beneficial to achieve conjunctive goals of socio-economic development and eco-environmental sustainability in such an arid IS.


英文关键词Rough-approximation Stochastic programming Support-vector-regression (SVR) Irrigation system (IS) Uncertainty Risk sensitive analysis
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000414782800002
WOS关键词RESOURCES MANAGEMENT ; PROGRAMMING MODEL ; VECTOR-REGRESSION ; OPTIMIZATION MODEL ; HURWICZ CRITERION ; RIVER-BASIN ; FUZZY ; UNCERTAINTY ; ALLOCATION ; CREDIBILITY
WOS类目Engineering, Environmental ; Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Statistics & Probability ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Mathematics ; Water Resources
来源机构北京师范大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202558
作者单位1.Capital Univ Econ & Business, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Regina, Inst Energy Environm & Sustainable Communities, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada;
3.Univ Regina, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada;
4.Qingdao Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Qingdao 266071, Shandong, Peoples R China;
5.Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China;
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zeng, X. T.,Huang, G. H.,Zhang, J. L.,et al. A stochastic rough-approximation water management model for supporting sustainable water-environment strategies in an irrigation district of arid region[J]. 北京师范大学,2017,31(9):2183-2200.
APA Zeng, X. T..,Huang, G. H..,Zhang, J. L..,Li, Y. P..,You, L..,...&Hao, P. P..(2017).A stochastic rough-approximation water management model for supporting sustainable water-environment strategies in an irrigation district of arid region.STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT,31(9),2183-2200.
MLA Zeng, X. T.,et al."A stochastic rough-approximation water management model for supporting sustainable water-environment strategies in an irrigation district of arid region".STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT 31.9(2017):2183-2200.
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