Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00477-016-1254-2 |
Transitional variations and risk of hydro-meteorological droughts in the Tarim River basin, China | |
Sun, Peng1,2; Zhang, Qiang3,4,5; Singh, Vijay P.6,7; Xiao, Mingzhong4; Zhang, Xiuyu8 | |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Xiuyu |
来源期刊 | STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT |
ISSN | 1436-3240 |
EISSN | 1436-3259 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 31期号:6页码:1515-1526 |
英文摘要 | The Tarim River basin, China, is a typical arid inland river basin in China. Management of water resources and agricultural development rely heavily on the understanding of droughts. In this study, an integrated drought index is proposed, based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index and the Standardized Runoff Index, and then the changing properties of drought regimes have been analyzed using a Markov Chain model. Results indicate that: (1) the Kaidu and Aksu Rivers are dominated by prompt transition between hydrological and meteorological droughts. Long-lasting droughts heavily impact agricultural development in the Kaidu and Yarkand River basins; (2) the Kaidu and Aksu River basins are influenced mainly by hydro-meteorological droughts and hydrological drought is dominant in the Yarkand River basin; (3) different drought conditions are the results of different sources of river runoff. Increasing precipitation alleviate droughts in the Tarim River basin. However, a drying tendency can still be found in the Kaidu River basin; (4) higher probability is detected for the transition from both meteorological and hydrological wet to both meteorological and hydrological dry, implying that the Tarim River basin is sensitive to both meteorological and hydrological droughts. Results of this study are of practical value for the regional management of water resources, planning of agricultural irrigation, and measures for mitigation of hydrological and meteorological droughts. |
英文关键词 | Hydro-meteorological droughts Forecast of droughts Development processes of drought Markov Chain model Tarim River basin |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China ; USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404568200016 |
WOS关键词 | XINJIANG ; SPI |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Environmental ; Engineering, Civil ; Environmental Sciences ; Statistics & Probability ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Mathematics ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/202553 |
作者单位 | 1.Anhui Normal Univ, Coll Territorial Resources & Tourism, Wuhu 241000, Anhui, Peoples R China; 2.Anhui Key Lab Nat Disaster Proc & Prevent, Wuhu 241003, Peoples R China; 3.Suzhou Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Engn, Suzhou 234000, Anhui, Peoples R China; 4.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Water Resources & Environm, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 5.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Key Lab Water Cycle & Water Secur Southern China, Guangdong High Educ Inst, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China; 6.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX USA; 7.Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil Engn, College Stn, TX USA; 8.Minist Environm Protect, South China Inst Environm Sci, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Peng,Zhang, Qiang,Singh, Vijay P.,et al. Transitional variations and risk of hydro-meteorological droughts in the Tarim River basin, China[J],2017,31(6):1515-1526. |
APA | Sun, Peng,Zhang, Qiang,Singh, Vijay P.,Xiao, Mingzhong,&Zhang, Xiuyu.(2017).Transitional variations and risk of hydro-meteorological droughts in the Tarim River basin, China.STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT,31(6),1515-1526. |
MLA | Sun, Peng,et al."Transitional variations and risk of hydro-meteorological droughts in the Tarim River basin, China".STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT 31.6(2017):1515-1526. |
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