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DOI10.1175/JHM-D-16-0218.1
Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments
Engel, Thomas1,3; Fink, Andreas H.1; Knippertz, Peter1; Pante, Gregor1; Bliefernicht, Jan2
通讯作者Fink, Andreas H.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
ISSN1525-755X
EISSN1525-7541
出版年2017
卷号18期号:11页码:2937-2957
英文摘要

Two extreme, high-impact events of heavy rainfall and severe floods in West African urban areas (Ouagadougou on 1 September 2009 and Dakar on 26 August 2012) are investigated with respect to their atmospheric causes and statistical return periods. In terms of the synoptic-convective dynamics, the Ouagadougou case is truly extraordinary. Asuccession of two slow-movingAfrican easterly waves (AEWs) caused record-breaking values of tropospheric moisture. The second AEW, one of the strongest in recent decades, provided the synoptic forcing for the nighttime genesis of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Ouagadougou was hit by two MCSs within 6 h, as the strong convergence and rotation in the AEW-related vortex allowed a swift moisture refueling. An AEW was also instrumental in the overnight development of MCSs in the Dakar case, but neither the AEW vortex nor the tropospheric moisture content was as exceptional as in the Ouagadougou case. Tropical RainfallMeasuringMission (TRMM) 3B42 precipitation data show some promise in estimating centennial return values (RVs) using the "peak over threshold’’ approach with a generalized Pareto distribution fit, although indications for errors in estimating extreme rainfall over the arid Sahel are found. In contrast, the Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) dataset seems less suitable for this purpose despite the longer record. Notably, the Ouagadougou event demonstrates that highly unusual dynamical developments can create extremes well outside of RV estimates from century-long rainfall observations. Future research will investigate whether such developments may become more frequent in a warmer climate.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000417353900005
WOS关键词EASTERLY WAVES ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS ; DAILY RAINFALL ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SQUALL LINES ; VERSIONS 6 ; SATELLITE ; TRMM ; RESOLUTION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/200606
作者单位1.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Inst Meteorol & Climate Res, Karlsruhe, Germany;
2.Univ Augsburg, Inst Geog, Augsburg, Germany;
3.Comsoft Solut GmbH, Karlsruhe, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Engel, Thomas,Fink, Andreas H.,Knippertz, Peter,et al. Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments[J],2017,18(11):2937-2957.
APA Engel, Thomas,Fink, Andreas H.,Knippertz, Peter,Pante, Gregor,&Bliefernicht, Jan.(2017).Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments.JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,18(11),2937-2957.
MLA Engel, Thomas,et al."Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments".JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY 18.11(2017):2937-2957.
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