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DOI | 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0218.1 |
Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments | |
Engel, Thomas1,3; Fink, Andreas H.1; Knippertz, Peter1; Pante, Gregor1; Bliefernicht, Jan2 | |
通讯作者 | Fink, Andreas H. |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY
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ISSN | 1525-755X |
EISSN | 1525-7541 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 18期号:11页码:2937-2957 |
英文摘要 | Two extreme, high-impact events of heavy rainfall and severe floods in West African urban areas (Ouagadougou on 1 September 2009 and Dakar on 26 August 2012) are investigated with respect to their atmospheric causes and statistical return periods. In terms of the synoptic-convective dynamics, the Ouagadougou case is truly extraordinary. Asuccession of two slow-movingAfrican easterly waves (AEWs) caused record-breaking values of tropospheric moisture. The second AEW, one of the strongest in recent decades, provided the synoptic forcing for the nighttime genesis of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Ouagadougou was hit by two MCSs within 6 h, as the strong convergence and rotation in the AEW-related vortex allowed a swift moisture refueling. An AEW was also instrumental in the overnight development of MCSs in the Dakar case, but neither the AEW vortex nor the tropospheric moisture content was as exceptional as in the Ouagadougou case. Tropical RainfallMeasuringMission (TRMM) 3B42 precipitation data show some promise in estimating centennial return values (RVs) using the "peak over threshold’’ approach with a generalized Pareto distribution fit, although indications for errors in estimating extreme rainfall over the arid Sahel are found. In contrast, the Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) dataset seems less suitable for this purpose despite the longer record. Notably, the Ouagadougou event demonstrates that highly unusual dynamical developments can create extremes well outside of RV estimates from century-long rainfall observations. Future research will investigate whether such developments may become more frequent in a warmer climate. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000417353900005 |
WOS关键词 | EASTERLY WAVES ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS ; DAILY RAINFALL ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SQUALL LINES ; VERSIONS 6 ; SATELLITE ; TRMM ; RESOLUTION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/200606 |
作者单位 | 1.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Inst Meteorol & Climate Res, Karlsruhe, Germany; 2.Univ Augsburg, Inst Geog, Augsburg, Germany; 3.Comsoft Solut GmbH, Karlsruhe, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Engel, Thomas,Fink, Andreas H.,Knippertz, Peter,et al. Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments[J],2017,18(11):2937-2957. |
APA | Engel, Thomas,Fink, Andreas H.,Knippertz, Peter,Pante, Gregor,&Bliefernicht, Jan.(2017).Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments.JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY,18(11),2937-2957. |
MLA | Engel, Thomas,et al."Extreme Precipitation in the West African Cities of Dakar and Ouagadougou: Atmospheric Dynamics and Implications for Flood Risk Assessments".JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY 18.11(2017):2937-2957. |
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