Arid
DOI10.1007/s11442-017-1368-6
NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future
Yuan, Quanzhi1,2; Wu, Shaohong3,4; Dai, Erfu3,4; Zhao, Dongsheng3,4; Ren, Ping1,2; Zhang, Xueru5
通讯作者Wu, Shaohong
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN1009-637X
EISSN1861-9568
出版年2017
卷号27期号:2页码:131-142
英文摘要

Using the Integrated Biosphere Simulator, a dynamic vegetation model, this study initially simulated the net primary productivity (NPP) dynamics of China’s potential vegetation in the past 55 years (1961-2015) and in the future 35 years (2016-2050). Then, taking the NPP of the potential vegetation in average climate conditions during 1986-2005 as the basis for evaluation, this study examined whether the potential vegetation adapts to climate change or not. Meanwhile, the degree of inadaptability was evaluated. Finally, the NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation was evaluated by synthesizing the frequency and degrees of inadaptability to climate change. In the past 55 years, the NPP of desert ecosystems in the south of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the north of China and in western Tibetan Plateau was prone to the effect of climate change. The NPP of most forest ecosystems was not prone to the influence of climate change. The low NPP vulnerability to climate change of the evergreen broad-leaved and coniferous forests was observed. Furthermore, the NPP of the desert ecosystems in the north of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau also had low vulnerability to climate change. In the next 35 years, the NPP vulnerability to climate change would reduce the forest-steppe in the Songliao Plain, the deciduous broad-leaved forests in the warm temperate zone, and the alpine steppe in the central and western Tibetan Plateau. The NPP vulnerability would significantly increase of the temperate desert in the Junggar Basin and the alpine desert in the Kunlun Mountains. The NPP vulnerability of the subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests would also increase. The area of the regions with increased vulnerability would account for 27.5% of China.


英文关键词climate change vulnerability potential vegetation net primary productivity IBIS China
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000390068200001
WOS关键词PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; CARBON BALANCE ; WATER-BALANCE ; MODEL ; ECOSYSTEM ; DYNAMICS ; SCENARIOS
WOS类目Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向Physical Geography
来源机构中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/200470
作者单位1.Sichuan Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Land Resources Evaluat & Monitoring South, Chengdu 610068, Peoples R China;
2.Sichuan Normal Univ, Inst Geog & Resources Sci, Chengdu 610101, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
5.Chongqing Jiaotong Univ, Chongqing 400074, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yuan, Quanzhi,Wu, Shaohong,Dai, Erfu,et al. NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,2017,27(2):131-142.
APA Yuan, Quanzhi,Wu, Shaohong,Dai, Erfu,Zhao, Dongsheng,Ren, Ping,&Zhang, Xueru.(2017).NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future.JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,27(2),131-142.
MLA Yuan, Quanzhi,et al."NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future".JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES 27.2(2017):131-142.
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