Arid
DOI10.1016/j.geoderma.2016.10.019
Modelling the topsoil carbon stock of agricultural lands with the Stochastic Gradient Treeboost in a semi-arid Mediterranean region
Schillaci, Calogero1,2; Lombardo, Luigi2,3; Saia, Sergio4; Fantappie, Maria5; Marker, Michael2,6; Acutis, Marco1
通讯作者Saia, Sergio
来源期刊GEODERMA
ISSN0016-7061
EISSN1872-6259
出版年2017
卷号286页码:35-45
英文摘要

Efficient modelling methods to assess soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks have a pivotal importance as inputs for global carbon cycle studies and decision-making processes. However, laboratory analyses of SOC field samples are costly and time consuming. Global-scale estimates of SOC were recently made according to categorical variables, including land use and soil texture. Remote sensing (RS) data can contribute to the better modelling of the spatial distribution of SOC stock at a regional scale. In the present study, we used Stochastic Gradient Treeboost (SGT) to estimate the topsoil (0-30 cm) SOC stock of a Mediterranean semiarid area (Sicily, Italy, 25,286 km(2)). In particular, our study examined agricultural lands, which represent approximately 64% of the entire region. An extensive soil dataset (2202 samples, 1 profile/7.31 Km(2) on average) was acquired from the soil database of Sicily. The georeferenced field observations were intersected with remotely sensed environmental data and other spatial data, including climatic data from WORLDCLIM, land cover from CORINE, soil texture, topography and derived indices. Finally, the SGT was compared to published global estimates (GSOC) and data from the International Soil Reference and Information Centre (ISRIC) Soil Grids by comparing the pseudo-regressions of the SGT, GSOC and ISRIC with soil observations. The mean SOC stock across the entire region that was estimated by GSOC and ISRIC was 3.9% lower and 46.2% higher compared to the SGT. The SGT efficiently predicted SOC stocks that were <70 t ha(-1) (corresponding to the 90th percentile of the observed values). On average, the coefficient of variation of the SGT model was 3.6% when computed on the whole dataset and remained lower than 23% when computed on a distribution basis. The SGT mean absolute error was 14.84 t ha(-1), 18.4% and 363% lower than GSOC and ISRIC, respectively. The mean annual rainfall, soil texture, land use, mean annual temperature and Landsat 7 ETM+ panchromatic Band 8 were the most important predictors of SOC stock. Finally, SOC stocks were estimated for each land cover class. SGT predicted SOC stock better than GSOC and ISRIC for most data. This resulted in a percentage of data in the prediction confidence interval 50% compared to the observed values of 71.4%, 65.8%, and 50.7% for SGT, GSOC, and SGT, respectively. This consisted of a higher R-2 and a slope (13) that was closer to 1 for the pseudo-regression constructed with SGT compared to GSOC and ISRIC. In conclusion, the results of the present study showed that the integration of RS with climatic and soil texture spatial data could strongly improve SOC prediction in a semi-arid Mediterranean region. In addition, the panchromatic band of Landsat 7 ETM+ was more predictive compared to the conventionally used NDVI. This information is crucial to guiding decision-making processes, especially at a regional scale and/or in semi-arid Mediterranean areas. The model performance of the SGT could be further, improved by adopting predictors with greater spatial resolutions. The results of the present experiment yield valuable information, especially for assessing climate change or land use change scenarios for SOC stocks and their spatial distribution. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Soil organic carbon Stochastic modelling Terrain analysis Remote sensing Climate data
类型Article
语种英语
国家Italy ; Germany ; Saudi Arabia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000389107000005
WOS关键词SOIL ORGANIC-CARBON ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; MATTER ; SCALE ; SEQUESTRATION ; DECOMPOSITION ; NITROGEN ; PROPERTY ; DYNAMICS
WOS类目Soil Science
WOS研究方向Agriculture
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/199195
作者单位1.Univ Milan, Dept Agr & Environm Sci, Milan, Italy;
2.Univ Tubingen, Dept Geosci, Tubingen, Germany;
3.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Phys Sci & Engn Div, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia;
4.Council Agr Res & Econ CREA, Cereal Res Ctr CREA CER, Foggia, Italy;
5.Council Agr Res & Econ CREA, Ctr Agrobiol & Pedol CREA ABP, Florence, Italy;
6.Univ Pavia, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Pavia, Italy
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Schillaci, Calogero,Lombardo, Luigi,Saia, Sergio,et al. Modelling the topsoil carbon stock of agricultural lands with the Stochastic Gradient Treeboost in a semi-arid Mediterranean region[J],2017,286:35-45.
APA Schillaci, Calogero,Lombardo, Luigi,Saia, Sergio,Fantappie, Maria,Marker, Michael,&Acutis, Marco.(2017).Modelling the topsoil carbon stock of agricultural lands with the Stochastic Gradient Treeboost in a semi-arid Mediterranean region.GEODERMA,286,35-45.
MLA Schillaci, Calogero,et al."Modelling the topsoil carbon stock of agricultural lands with the Stochastic Gradient Treeboost in a semi-arid Mediterranean region".GEODERMA 286(2017):35-45.
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