Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.08.025 |
Spatially explicit modelling of agricultural dynamics in semi-arid environments | |
Chen, Assaf | |
通讯作者 | Chen, Assaf |
来源期刊 | ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
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ISSN | 0304-3800 |
EISSN | 1872-7026 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 363页码:31-47 |
英文摘要 | This paper describes a software package called Spatially Explicit Agricultural Dynamics (SEAD), which investigates agricultural spatial and temporal land-use changes. SEAD is an agent-based model whose rules are set to mimic the human decision making processes regarding agricultural land expansion. Model calibration is based on remotely sensed data. Detection of agricultural lands was executed using intraand inter-annual Landsat images, with an overall accuracy of 86%. An analysis regarding the correlation of agricultural spread with water availability, irrigation infrastructure, road infrastructure, soil type, and geographical variables was conducted. These data, along with interviews with agricultural experts examining farmers’ decision-making processes, were translated into rules that were used to model agricultural expansion. The SEAD results show that agricultural expansion in the north-western Negev (Israel) is highly dependent on water availability, which in turn is sensitive to forecasted climate change scenarios. While the spatial expansion patterns are mostly influenced by irrigation and road infrastructure positioning and placement, they vary in their infrastructural costs and agricultural settlement clustering and connectivity, thus affecting landscape fragmentation, travel time, and social/ecological connectivity. SEAD, being highly encapsulated and object-oriented in nature, can be reused in different settings. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Agricultural detection and classification Agricultural expansion Agent-based modelling Land-use land-cover changes Water resource management Decision support system |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Israel |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000413609300004 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-COVER CHANGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AGENT ; DIFFUSION ; ACCURACY ; PROTOCOL ; SYSTEM ; IMPACT ; REGION ; PLANTS |
WOS类目 | Ecology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | Ben-Gurion University of the Negev |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/198471 |
作者单位 | Ben Gurion Univ Negev, Jacob Blaustein Inst Desert Res, Dept Solar Energy & Environm Phys, Sede Boger Campus, IL-84990 Sede Boqer, Israel |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Assaf. Spatially explicit modelling of agricultural dynamics in semi-arid environments[J]. Ben-Gurion University of the Negev,2017,363:31-47. |
APA | Chen, Assaf.(2017).Spatially explicit modelling of agricultural dynamics in semi-arid environments.ECOLOGICAL MODELLING,363,31-47. |
MLA | Chen, Assaf."Spatially explicit modelling of agricultural dynamics in semi-arid environments".ECOLOGICAL MODELLING 363(2017):31-47. |
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