Arid
DOI10.1007/s00382-016-3127-2
Rainfall variability and trends of the past six decades (1950-2014) in the subtropical NW Argentine Andes
Castino, F.; Bookhagen, B.; Strecker, M. R.
通讯作者Castino, F.
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2017
卷号48期号:3-4页码:1049-1067
英文摘要

The eastern flanks of the Central Andes are characterized by deep convection, exposing them to hydrometeorological extreme events, often resulting in floods and a variety of mass movements. We assessed the spatiotemporal pattern of rainfall trends and the changes in the magnitude and frequency of extreme events (ae95th percentile) along an E-W traverse across the southern Central Andes using rain-gauge and high-resolution gridded datasets (CPC-uni and TRMM 3B42 V7). We generated different climate indices and made three key observations: (1) an increase of the annual rainfall has occurred at the transition between low (< 0.5 km) and intermediate (0.5-3 km) elevations between 1950 and 2014. Also, rainfall increases during the wet season and, to a lesser degree, decreases during the dry season. Increasing trends in annual total amounts characterize the period 1979-2014 in the arid, high-elevation southern Andean Plateau, whereas trend reversals with decreasing annual total amounts were found at low elevations. (2) For all analyzed periods, we observed small or no changes in the median values of the rainfall-frequency distribution, but significant trends with intensification or attenuation in the 95th percentile. (3) In the southern Andean Plateau, extreme rainfall events exhibit trends towards increasing magnitude and, to a lesser degree, frequency during the wet season, at least since 1979. Our analysis revealed that low (< 0.5 km), intermediate (0.5-3 km), and high-elevation (> 3 km) areas respond differently to changing climate conditions, and the transition zone between low and intermediate elevations is characterized by the most significant changes.


英文关键词Extreme rainfall South American Monsoon System Central Andes Quantile regression Rain gauges CPC-uni TRMM Orographic barrier
类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000394150500020
WOS关键词AMERICAN MONSOON SYSTEM ; MULTISATELLITE PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS ; SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; EXTREME DAILY RAINFALL ; MEASURING MISSION TRMM ; LA-PLATA BASIN ; SOUTH-AMERICA ; QUANTILE REGRESSION ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/198125
作者单位Univ Potsdam, Inst Earth & Environm Sci, Potsdam, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Castino, F.,Bookhagen, B.,Strecker, M. R.. Rainfall variability and trends of the past six decades (1950-2014) in the subtropical NW Argentine Andes[J],2017,48(3-4):1049-1067.
APA Castino, F.,Bookhagen, B.,&Strecker, M. R..(2017).Rainfall variability and trends of the past six decades (1950-2014) in the subtropical NW Argentine Andes.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,48(3-4),1049-1067.
MLA Castino, F.,et al."Rainfall variability and trends of the past six decades (1950-2014) in the subtropical NW Argentine Andes".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 48.3-4(2017):1049-1067.
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