Arid
DOI10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.06.008
Linear trend and abrupt changes of climate indices in the arid region of northwestern China
Wang, Huaijun1,2; Pan, Yingping1; Chen, Yaning2; Ye, Zhengwei1
通讯作者Wang, Huaijun
来源期刊ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
ISSN0169-8095
EISSN1873-2895
出版年2017
卷号196页码:108-118
英文摘要

In recent years, climate extreme events have caused increasing direct economic and social losses in the arid region of northwestern China. Based on daily temperature and precipitation data from 1960 to 2010, this paper discussed the linear trend and abrupt changes of climate indices. The general evolution was obtained by the empirical orthogonal function (EOF), the Mann-Kendall test, and the distribution-free cumulative sum chart (CUSUM) test. The results are as follows: (1) climate showed a warming trend at annual and seasonal scale, with all temperature indices exhibiting statistically significant changes. The warm indices have increased, with 1.37% days/decade of warm days (TX90p), 0.17 degrees C/decade of warmest days (TXx) and 1.97 days/decade of warm spell duration indicator (WSDI), respectively. The cold indices have decreased, with 1.89%days/decade, 0.65 degrees C/decade and 0.66 days/decade for cold nights (TN10p), coldest nights (TNn) and cold spell duration indicator (CSDI), respectively. The precipitation indices have also increased significantly, coupled with the changes of magnitude (max 1-day precipitation amount (RX1day)), frequency (rain day (ROA)), and duration (consecutive dry days (CDD)). (2) Abrupt changes of the annual regional precipitation indices and the minimum temperature indices were observed around 1986, and that of the maximum temperature indices were observed in 1996. (3) The EOF1 indicated the overall coherent distribution for the whole study area, and its principal component (PC1) was also observed, showing a significant linear trend with an abrupt change, which were in accordance with the regional observation results. EOF2 and EOF3 show contrasts between the southern and northern study areas, and between the eastern and western study areas, respectively, whereas no significant tendency was observed for their PCs. Hence, the climate indices have changed significantly, with linear trends and abrupt changes noted for all climate indices, which will have serious impacts on water resources and ecological environment in the arid region of China.


英文关键词Linear trend Abrupt change Climate indices Arid region of northwestern China
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000409290200010
WOS关键词EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTIONS ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES ; MODEL SIMULATIONS ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; UNITED-STATES ; TIME-SERIES ; TEMPERATURE ; HOMOGENEITY ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/197706
作者单位1.Huaiyin Normal Univ, Sch Urban & Environm Sci, 111 West Changjiang Rd, Huaian 223300, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, 818 South Beijing Rd, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Huaijun,Pan, Yingping,Chen, Yaning,et al. Linear trend and abrupt changes of climate indices in the arid region of northwestern China[J]. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,2017,196:108-118.
APA Wang, Huaijun,Pan, Yingping,Chen, Yaning,&Ye, Zhengwei.(2017).Linear trend and abrupt changes of climate indices in the arid region of northwestern China.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,196,108-118.
MLA Wang, Huaijun,et al."Linear trend and abrupt changes of climate indices in the arid region of northwestern China".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 196(2017):108-118.
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