Arid
DOI10.1016/j.agwat.2016.11.007
Modeling yield and biomass responses of maize cultivars to climate change under full and deficit irrigation
Ma, L.1; Ahuja, L. R.1; Islam, A.2; Trout, T. J.3; Saseendran, S. A.4; Malone, R. W.5
通讯作者Ma, L.
来源期刊AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT
ISSN0378-3774
EISSN1873-2283
出版年2017
卷号180页码:88-98
英文摘要

With as much as 4.8 degrees C increase in air temperature by end of 21st century, new crop cultivars are needed for adapting to the new climate. The objective of this study was to identify maize (Zea mays L) cultivar parameters that maintain yield under projected climate for late in the 21st century under full and deficit irrigation in a semi-arid region. The Root Zone Water Quality Model (RZWQM2) was calibrated with four years of maize data from northeastern Colorado, USA, under various irrigation conditions and was then used to simulate climate change effects on maize production with current management practices. Results showed that projected climate change decreased yield by 21% and biomass by 7% late in the 21st century (2070-2091) under full irrigation, compared to yield in the current climate (1992-2013). Under deficit irrigation, the corresponding reductions were 14% and 3%, respectively. Using the cultivar parameters calibrated with RZWQM2 for southern Colorado condition did not show yield decrease under future climate, but it simulated much lower yield under current climate in northeastern Colorado. A cultivar from the DSSAT (Decision Support Systems for Agrotechnology Transfer) crop database (GL 482) produced similar yield to experimental data under current climate and increased yield by 4% at full irrigation under future climate in northeastern Colorado. Using Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), we also identified 70 cultivars with longer maturity duration (between silking and physiological maturity) and higher grain filling rate for mitigating climate change effects on maize production. These two identified traits can guide plant breeders in developing cultivars for the future. Published by Elsevier B.V.


英文关键词Systems modeling RZWQM DSSAT Cultivar traits Climate adaptation Crop simulation Irrigation management Colorado
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; India
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000390741000009
WOS关键词CHANGE IMPACTS ; ADAPTATION STRATEGIES ; PLANTING DATE ; MANAGEMENT ; SOIL ; VARIABILITY ; OPTIONS ; SYSTEMS ; CROPS ; ZONE
WOS类目Agronomy ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/197132
作者单位1.USDA ARS, Agr Syst Res Unit, Ft Collins, CO 80526 USA;
2.ICAR Res Complex, Div Nat Resources Management NRM, New Delhi 110012, India;
3.USDA ARS, Water Management & Syst Res Unit, Ft Collins, CO 80526 USA;
4.USDA ARS, Crop Prod Syst Res Unit, Stoneville, MS 38776 USA;
5.USDA ARS, Natl Lab Agr & Environm, Ames, IA 50011 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ma, L.,Ahuja, L. R.,Islam, A.,et al. Modeling yield and biomass responses of maize cultivars to climate change under full and deficit irrigation[J],2017,180:88-98.
APA Ma, L.,Ahuja, L. R.,Islam, A.,Trout, T. J.,Saseendran, S. A.,&Malone, R. W..(2017).Modeling yield and biomass responses of maize cultivars to climate change under full and deficit irrigation.AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT,180,88-98.
MLA Ma, L.,et al."Modeling yield and biomass responses of maize cultivars to climate change under full and deficit irrigation".AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT 180(2017):88-98.
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