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DOI10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0040.1
Analysis of Index Insurance Potential for Adaptation to Hydroclimatic Risks in the West African Sahel
Siebert, Asher
通讯作者Siebert, Asher
来源期刊WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY
ISSN1948-8327
EISSN1948-8335
出版年2016
卷号8期号:3页码:265-283
英文摘要

Index insurance has been viewed as a financial adaptation to climate risks with the potential for widespread application, especially in a developing world context. The potential for index insurance is explored in the context of hypothetical drought and flood contracts at the national level for farmers in the West African Sahel nations of Niger, Burkina Faso, and Mali. The region’s climatology and dynamics are discussed and multiple datasets are considered as potential indices.Agricultural, precipitation, streamflow, remotely sensed vegetation, and Nino sea surface temperature indices were explored as potential bases for index insurance contract. Correlation analyses between the potential geophysical and agricultural indices are examined and two of the rainfall datasets are found to have robust positive correlations with millet production in all three nations, while a particular streamflow index is found to have a robust negative correlation with rice production in Niger. A methodological innovation of this research is the use of Gerrity skill score (GSS) analysis to analyze the indices of high correlation. The correlation and GSS analyses presented here indicate the potential for index insurance using two of the rainfall datasets for the millet crop (drought risk) of all three nations and the Niamey flood month streamflow dataset for the rice crop of Niger (flood risk).


英文关键词Geographic location entity Africa Mathematical and statistical techniques Statistical techniques Time series Variability Climate variability Applications Agriculture Insurance
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000379654700002
WOS关键词SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; RAINFALL VARIABILITY ; CLIMATE MODEL ; TIME SCALES ; PRECIPITATION ; MONSOON ; DESERTIFICATION ; DYNAMICS ; ENSO ; 20TH-CENTURY
WOS类目Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/196853
作者单位Princeton Univ, Princeton Environm Inst, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
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Siebert, Asher. Analysis of Index Insurance Potential for Adaptation to Hydroclimatic Risks in the West African Sahel[J],2016,8(3):265-283.
APA Siebert, Asher.(2016).Analysis of Index Insurance Potential for Adaptation to Hydroclimatic Risks in the West African Sahel.WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY,8(3),265-283.
MLA Siebert, Asher."Analysis of Index Insurance Potential for Adaptation to Hydroclimatic Risks in the West African Sahel".WEATHER CLIMATE AND SOCIETY 8.3(2016):265-283.
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