Arid
DOI10.3390/w8050209
Generation of Natural Runoff Monthly Series at Ungauged Sites Using a Regional Regressive Model
Pumo, Dario1; Viola, Francesco2; Noto, Leonardo Valerio1
通讯作者Pumo, Dario
来源期刊WATER
ISSN2073-4441
出版年2016
卷号8期号:5
英文摘要

Many hydrologic applications require reliable estimates of runoff in river basins to face the widespread lack of data, both in time and in space. A regional method for the reconstruction of monthly runoff series is here developed and applied to Sicily (Italy). A simple modeling structure is adopted, consisting of a regression-based rainfall-runoff model with four model parameters, calibrated through a two-step procedure. Monthly runoff estimates are based on precipitation, temperature, and exploiting the autocorrelation with runoff at the previous month. Model parameters are assessed by specific regional equations as a function of easily measurable physical and climate basin descriptors. The first calibration step is aimed at the identification of a set of parameters optimizing model performances at the level of single basin. Such optimal sets are used at the second step, part of a regional regression analysis, to establish the regional equations for model parameters assessment as a function of basin attributes. All the gauged watersheds across the region have been analyzed, selecting 53 basins for model calibration and using the other six basins exclusively for validation. Performances, quantitatively evaluated by different statistical indexes, demonstrate relevant model ability in reproducing the observed hydrological time-series at both the monthly and coarser time resolutions. The methodology, which is easily transferable to other arid and semi-arid areas, provides a reliable tool for filling/reconstructing runoff time series at any gauged or ungauged basin of a region.


英文关键词monthly runoff series regression method rainfall-runoff model regionalization ungauged sites natural streamflow
类型Article
语种英语
国家Italy
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000377984300040
WOS关键词SYSTEME HYDROLOGIQUE EUROPEEN ; MONTHLY WATER-BALANCE ; FLOW DURATION CURVES ; SPATIAL INTERPOLATION ; STREAMFLOW PREDICTION ; CATCHMENT ATTRIBUTES ; RIVER-BASINS ; RAINFALL ; PRECIPITATION ; EQUIFINALITY
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/196762
作者单位1.Univ Palermo, Dipartimento Ingn Civile, Ambientale, Aerosp,Mat, Viale Sci,Edificio 8, I-90128 Palermo, Italy;
2.Univ Cagliari, Dipartimento Ingn Civile Ambientale & Architettur, Via Marengo 2, I-09123 Cagliari, Italy
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Pumo, Dario,Viola, Francesco,Noto, Leonardo Valerio. Generation of Natural Runoff Monthly Series at Ungauged Sites Using a Regional Regressive Model[J],2016,8(5).
APA Pumo, Dario,Viola, Francesco,&Noto, Leonardo Valerio.(2016).Generation of Natural Runoff Monthly Series at Ungauged Sites Using a Regional Regressive Model.WATER,8(5).
MLA Pumo, Dario,et al."Generation of Natural Runoff Monthly Series at Ungauged Sites Using a Regional Regressive Model".WATER 8.5(2016).
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