Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-014-1343-4
Climate trends and crop production in China at county scale, 1980 to 2008
Zhang, Zhao1; Song, Xiao1; Tao, Fulu2; Zhang, Shuai2; Shi, Wenjiao2
通讯作者Tao, Fulu
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2016
卷号123期号:1-2页码:291-302
英文摘要

Our understanding on the impact of climate change on agricultural production, as well as the potential adaption options, can be accelerated by shedding insights on the historical experiences in the past few decades. Here, we used improved datasets of climate, crop phenology, and crop yields to investigate climate-crop yield relationships, recent trends in seasonal climate and their impact on yields of major crops (i.e., rice, wheat, maize, and soybean) by county throughout China during the period of 1980-2008. The temporal and spatial patterns of climate trends and the impact on major crop yields were presented. We found crop yields declined by up to 5-10 % or more for each 1 degrees C increase in mean temperature over crop growing period at some regions, and trends in mean temperature during the period of 1980-2008 reduced crop yields by up to 2.5-5.0 % or more at some regions. For the whole country, planting area-weighted average of yield change due to trends in mean temperature and precipitation together was about 1.16, -0.31, -0.40, and 0.11 % over the whole period for rice, wheat, maize, and soybean, respectively. Climate trends were large enough at some regions to offset a notable portion of the increases in average yields that arose from technology and other factors. The particular crops and regions that have been most affected and should be the priorities to adapt are maize and wheat in the arid and semi-arid areas of northern and northeastern China, where climate warming-induced droughts are one of major challenges.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000368715000022
WOS关键词RICE YIELDS ; WHEAT YIELD ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; DECLINE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 ; 北京师范大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/196645
作者单位1.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Zhao,Song, Xiao,Tao, Fulu,et al. Climate trends and crop production in China at county scale, 1980 to 2008[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京师范大学,2016,123(1-2):291-302.
APA Zhang, Zhao,Song, Xiao,Tao, Fulu,Zhang, Shuai,&Shi, Wenjiao.(2016).Climate trends and crop production in China at county scale, 1980 to 2008.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,123(1-2),291-302.
MLA Zhang, Zhao,et al."Climate trends and crop production in China at county scale, 1980 to 2008".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 123.1-2(2016):291-302.
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