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DOI10.1007/s10113-015-0826-x
China’s Grain for Green policy and farm dynamics: simulating household land-use responses
Chen, Hai1; Lopez-Carr, David2; Tan, Yan3; Xi, Jing1; Liang, Xiaoying1
通讯作者Lopez-Carr, David
来源期刊REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
ISSN1436-3798
EISSN1436-378X
出版年2016
卷号16期号:4页码:1147-1159
英文摘要

Analyzing the interaction between environmental policies and farmers’ responses to them is an important dimension to understand regional agro-ecosystem sustainability. We examine land-use outcomes of perhaps the largest government-planned rural reforestation program in the history of humankind, China’s "Grain for Green" (GFG) policy from 1999 to 2006. Specifically, we simulate household responses to the GFG policy in Western China’s Shaanxi Province, a region experiencing acute climate and land change-related environmental degradation. We develop a "farmer group decision-making model" to simulate the probability of land-use change. Elevation, slope, and farm household characteristics emerge as key factors influencing farmers’ land-use decisions and subsequent land-use patterns. Land reversion and abandonment in the study area have been significantly affected by the GFG program. Policy recommendations suggest potential avenues to enhance the effectiveness of the GFG program and to improve the efficient use of under-used farmland. Results may help inform the Chinese government as it crafts policy guiding a coupled rural migration and reforestation program of unprecedented scale.


英文关键词Grain for Green program Belief, desire and intention (BDI) model Land reversion Land abandonment Policy scenarios
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; USA ; Australia
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000373310600019
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DESERTIFICATION ; GRASSLAND
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/195916
作者单位1.NW Univ Xian, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Xian 710069, Shaanxi, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Geog, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA;
3.Univ Adelaide, Discipline Geog Environm & Populat, Adelaide, SA, Australia
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GB/T 7714
Chen, Hai,Lopez-Carr, David,Tan, Yan,等. China’s Grain for Green policy and farm dynamics: simulating household land-use responses[J],2016,16(4):1147-1159.
APA Chen, Hai,Lopez-Carr, David,Tan, Yan,Xi, Jing,&Liang, Xiaoying.(2016).China’s Grain for Green policy and farm dynamics: simulating household land-use responses.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,16(4),1147-1159.
MLA Chen, Hai,et al."China’s Grain for Green policy and farm dynamics: simulating household land-use responses".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 16.4(2016):1147-1159.
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