Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE2995 |
Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity | |
Deryng, Delphine1,2,3; Elliott, Joshua1,2; Folberth, Christian4,5; Mueller, Christoph6; Pugh, Thomas A. M.7,8; Boote, Kenneth J.9; Conway, Declan10; Ruane, Alex C.2,11; Gerten, Dieter6,12; Jones, James W.9; Khabarov, Nikolay5; Olin, Stefan13; Schapho, Sibyll6; Schmid, Erwin14; Yang, Hong4; Rosenzweig, Cynthia2,11 | |
通讯作者 | Deryng, Delphine |
来源期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 6期号:8页码:786-+ |
英文摘要 | Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations ([CO2]) are expected to enhance photosynthesis and reduce crop water use(1). However, there is high uncertainty about the global implications of these effects for future crop production and agricultural water requirements under climate change. Here we combine results from networks of field experiments(1,2) and global crop models(3) to present a spatially explicit global perspective on crop water productivity (CWP, the ratio of crop yield to evapotranspiration) for wheat, maize, rice and soybean under elevated [CO2] and associated climate change projected for a high-end greenhouse gas emissions scenario. We find CO2 effects increase global CWP by 10[0;47]%-27[7;37]% ( median[interquartile range] across the model ensemble) by the 2080s depending on crop types, with particularly large increases in arid regions (by up to 48[25; 56]% for rainfed wheat). If realized in the fields, the effects of elevated [CO2] could considerably mitigate global yield losses whilst reducing agricultural consumptive water use (4-17%). We identify regional disparities driven by differences in growing conditions across agro-ecosystems that could have implications for increasing food production without compromising water security. Finally, our results demonstrate the need to expand field experiments and encourage greater consistency in modelling the effects of rising [CO2] across crop and hydrological modelling communities. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA ; England ; Switzerland ; Austria ; Germany ; Sweden |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000382134800018 |
WOS关键词 | CARBON-DIOXIDE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ELEVATED CO2 ; WHEAT EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; YIELD ; SOIL ; ENRICHMENT ; NITROGEN ; MODEL ; FOOD |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源机构 | University of London |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/195182 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chicago, Computat Inst, Chicago, IL 60637 USA; 2.Columbia Univ, Ctr Climate Syst Res, New York, NY 10025 USA; 3.Univ East Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England; 4.Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol EAWAG, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland; 5.IIASA, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria; 6.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; 7.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, IMK IFU, D-82467 Garmisch Partenkirchen, Germany; 8.Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham B15 2TT, W Midlands, England; 9.Univ Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA; 10.London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, London WC2A 2AE, England; 11.NASA Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; 12.Humboldt Univ, Dept Geog, D-10099 Berlin, Germany; 13.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, SE-22362 Lund, Sweden; 14.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, A-1180 Vienna, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Deryng, Delphine,Elliott, Joshua,Folberth, Christian,et al. Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity[J]. University of London,2016,6(8):786-+. |
APA | Deryng, Delphine.,Elliott, Joshua.,Folberth, Christian.,Mueller, Christoph.,Pugh, Thomas A. M..,...&Rosenzweig, Cynthia.(2016).Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,6(8),786-+. |
MLA | Deryng, Delphine,et al."Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 6.8(2016):786-+. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Regional disparities(3755KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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