Arid
DOI10.1038/NCLIMATE2995
Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity
Deryng, Delphine1,2,3; Elliott, Joshua1,2; Folberth, Christian4,5; Mueller, Christoph6; Pugh, Thomas A. M.7,8; Boote, Kenneth J.9; Conway, Declan10; Ruane, Alex C.2,11; Gerten, Dieter6,12; Jones, James W.9; Khabarov, Nikolay5; Olin, Stefan13; Schapho, Sibyll6; Schmid, Erwin14; Yang, Hong4; Rosenzweig, Cynthia2,11
通讯作者Deryng, Delphine
来源期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
出版年2016
卷号6期号:8页码:786-+
英文摘要

Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations ([CO2]) are expected to enhance photosynthesis and reduce crop water use(1). However, there is high uncertainty about the global implications of these effects for future crop production and agricultural water requirements under climate change. Here we combine results from networks of field experiments(1,2) and global crop models(3) to present a spatially explicit global perspective on crop water productivity (CWP, the ratio of crop yield to evapotranspiration) for wheat, maize, rice and soybean under elevated [CO2] and associated climate change projected for a high-end greenhouse gas emissions scenario. We find CO2 effects increase global CWP by 10[0;47]%-27[7;37]% ( median[interquartile range] across the model ensemble) by the 2080s depending on crop types, with particularly large increases in arid regions (by up to 48[25; 56]% for rainfed wheat). If realized in the fields, the effects of elevated [CO2] could considerably mitigate global yield losses whilst reducing agricultural consumptive water use (4-17%). We identify regional disparities driven by differences in growing conditions across agro-ecosystems that could have implications for increasing food production without compromising water security. Finally, our results demonstrate the need to expand field experiments and encourage greater consistency in modelling the effects of rising [CO2] across crop and hydrological modelling communities.


类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; England ; Switzerland ; Austria ; Germany ; Sweden
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000382134800018
WOS关键词CARBON-DIOXIDE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ELEVATED CO2 ; WHEAT EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; YIELD ; SOIL ; ENRICHMENT ; NITROGEN ; MODEL ; FOOD
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构University of London
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/195182
作者单位1.Univ Chicago, Computat Inst, Chicago, IL 60637 USA;
2.Columbia Univ, Ctr Climate Syst Res, New York, NY 10025 USA;
3.Univ East Anglia, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England;
4.Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol EAWAG, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland;
5.IIASA, Ecosyst Serv & Management Program, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria;
6.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany;
7.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, IMK IFU, D-82467 Garmisch Partenkirchen, Germany;
8.Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham B15 2TT, W Midlands, England;
9.Univ Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA;
10.London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Grantham Res Inst Climate Change & Environm, London WC2A 2AE, England;
11.NASA Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA;
12.Humboldt Univ, Dept Geog, D-10099 Berlin, Germany;
13.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, SE-22362 Lund, Sweden;
14.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, A-1180 Vienna, Austria
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GB/T 7714
Deryng, Delphine,Elliott, Joshua,Folberth, Christian,et al. Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity[J]. University of London,2016,6(8):786-+.
APA Deryng, Delphine.,Elliott, Joshua.,Folberth, Christian.,Mueller, Christoph.,Pugh, Thomas A. M..,...&Rosenzweig, Cynthia.(2016).Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,6(8),786-+.
MLA Deryng, Delphine,et al."Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 6.8(2016):786-+.
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