Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/jwmg.21143 |
A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer | |
Zabransky, Cody J.1; Hewitt, David G.1; Deyoung, Randy W.1; Gray, Shawn S.2; Richardson, Calvin3; Litt, Andrea R.4; Deyoung, Charles A.1 | |
通讯作者 | Hewitt, David G. |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
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ISSN | 0022-541X |
EISSN | 1937-2817 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 80期号:8页码:1379-1389 |
英文摘要 | Population estimates derived from aerial surveys of ungulates are biased by imperfect detection, where probability of sighting groups is influenced by variables specific to terrain features and vegetation communities. Therefore, methods for bias-correction must be validated for the region to which they will be applied. Our objectives were to quantify factors affecting detection probability of mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) during helicopter surveys in Texas, USA, rangelands, and develop a detection probability model to reduce bias in deer population estimates. We placed global positioning system (GPS) collars on 215 deer on 6 sites representative of mule deer range in the southern Great Plains and the Chihuahuan Desert during 2008-2010. We collected data during aerial surveys in January-March and fit logistic regression models to predict detection probability of mule deer based on ecological and behavioral covariates. We evaluated the model using independent estimates of population size derived from a mark-resight procedure. Detection of mule deer was negatively related to distance from the transect, increasing brush cover, sunlight, and increasing terrain ruggedness (P< 0.01). Probability of detection in brush cover was greater if deer were active (P = 0.02). Population estimates corrected for visibility bias using our detection probability model or mark-resight models averaged 2.1 +/- 0.49 (SD; n = 50) and 2.2 +/- 0.62 times larger, respectively, than uncorrected counts. Estimates of population size derived from the detection probability model averaged 101 +/- 26% of mark-resight estimates. However, the detection probability model did not improve precision of population estimates, probably because of unmodeled variation in availability of deer during surveys. Our detection probability model is a simple and effective means to reduce bias in estimates of mule deer population size in southwestern rangelands. Availability bias may be a persistent issue for surveys of mule deer in the Southwest, and appears to be a primary influence of variance of population estimates. (C) 2016 The Wildlife Society. |
英文关键词 | Chihuahuan Desert mark-resight population estimation sightability southern Great Plains Texas visibility bias |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000390040600005 |
WOS关键词 | WHITE-TAILED DEER ; NORTHERN GREAT-PLAINS ; SIGHTABILITY MODEL ; VISIBILITY BIAS ; HELICOPTER SURVEYS ; NET-GUN ; ELK ; POPULATIONS ; MARK ; SELECTION |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Zoology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Zoology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/194899 |
作者单位 | 1.Texas A&M Univ Kingsville, Caesar Kleberg Wildlife Res Inst, Kingsville, TX 78363 USA; 2.Texas Parks & Wildlife Dept, Alpine, TX 79830 USA; 3.Texas Parks & Wildlife Dept, Canyon, TX 79015 USA; 4.Montana State Univ, Dept Ecol, Bozeman, MT 59717 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zabransky, Cody J.,Hewitt, David G.,Deyoung, Randy W.,et al. A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer[J],2016,80(8):1379-1389. |
APA | Zabransky, Cody J..,Hewitt, David G..,Deyoung, Randy W..,Gray, Shawn S..,Richardson, Calvin.,...&Deyoung, Charles A..(2016).A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer.JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT,80(8),1379-1389. |
MLA | Zabransky, Cody J.,et al."A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer".JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT 80.8(2016):1379-1389. |
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