Arid
DOI10.1002/jwmg.21143
A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer
Zabransky, Cody J.1; Hewitt, David G.1; Deyoung, Randy W.1; Gray, Shawn S.2; Richardson, Calvin3; Litt, Andrea R.4; Deyoung, Charles A.1
通讯作者Hewitt, David G.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
ISSN0022-541X
EISSN1937-2817
出版年2016
卷号80期号:8页码:1379-1389
英文摘要

Population estimates derived from aerial surveys of ungulates are biased by imperfect detection, where probability of sighting groups is influenced by variables specific to terrain features and vegetation communities. Therefore, methods for bias-correction must be validated for the region to which they will be applied. Our objectives were to quantify factors affecting detection probability of mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) during helicopter surveys in Texas, USA, rangelands, and develop a detection probability model to reduce bias in deer population estimates. We placed global positioning system (GPS) collars on 215 deer on 6 sites representative of mule deer range in the southern Great Plains and the Chihuahuan Desert during 2008-2010. We collected data during aerial surveys in January-March and fit logistic regression models to predict detection probability of mule deer based on ecological and behavioral covariates. We evaluated the model using independent estimates of population size derived from a mark-resight procedure. Detection of mule deer was negatively related to distance from the transect, increasing brush cover, sunlight, and increasing terrain ruggedness (P< 0.01). Probability of detection in brush cover was greater if deer were active (P = 0.02). Population estimates corrected for visibility bias using our detection probability model or mark-resight models averaged 2.1 +/- 0.49 (SD; n = 50) and 2.2 +/- 0.62 times larger, respectively, than uncorrected counts. Estimates of population size derived from the detection probability model averaged 101 +/- 26% of mark-resight estimates. However, the detection probability model did not improve precision of population estimates, probably because of unmodeled variation in availability of deer during surveys. Our detection probability model is a simple and effective means to reduce bias in estimates of mule deer population size in southwestern rangelands. Availability bias may be a persistent issue for surveys of mule deer in the Southwest, and appears to be a primary influence of variance of population estimates. (C) 2016 The Wildlife Society.


英文关键词Chihuahuan Desert mark-resight population estimation sightability southern Great Plains Texas visibility bias
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000390040600005
WOS关键词WHITE-TAILED DEER ; NORTHERN GREAT-PLAINS ; SIGHTABILITY MODEL ; VISIBILITY BIAS ; HELICOPTER SURVEYS ; NET-GUN ; ELK ; POPULATIONS ; MARK ; SELECTION
WOS类目Ecology ; Zoology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Zoology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/194899
作者单位1.Texas A&M Univ Kingsville, Caesar Kleberg Wildlife Res Inst, Kingsville, TX 78363 USA;
2.Texas Parks & Wildlife Dept, Alpine, TX 79830 USA;
3.Texas Parks & Wildlife Dept, Canyon, TX 79015 USA;
4.Montana State Univ, Dept Ecol, Bozeman, MT 59717 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Zabransky, Cody J.,Hewitt, David G.,Deyoung, Randy W.,et al. A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer[J],2016,80(8):1379-1389.
APA Zabransky, Cody J..,Hewitt, David G..,Deyoung, Randy W..,Gray, Shawn S..,Richardson, Calvin.,...&Deyoung, Charles A..(2016).A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer.JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT,80(8),1379-1389.
MLA Zabransky, Cody J.,et al."A Detection Probability Model for Aerial Surveys of Mule Deer".JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT 80.8(2016):1379-1389.
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