Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.07.069
Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model
Han, Jing-Cheng1; Huang, Yuefei1,2; Li, Zhong3; Zhao, Chunhong1; Cheng, Guanhui4; Huang, Pengfei1
通讯作者Han, Jing-Cheng
来源期刊JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN0301-4797
EISSN1095-8630
出版年2016
卷号182页码:308-321
英文摘要

Accurate groundwater level (GWL) prediction can contribute to sustaining reliable water supply to domestic, agricultural and industrial uses as well as ecological services, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. In this paper, a regional GWL modeling framework was first presented through coupling both spatial and temporal clustering techniques. Specifically, the self-organizing map (SOM) was applied to identify spatially homogeneous clusters of GWL piezometers, while GWL time series forecasting was performed through developing a stepwise cluster multisite inference model with various predictors including climate conditions, well extractions, surface runoffs, reservoir operations and GWL measurements at previous steps. The proposed modeling approach was then demonstrated by a case of an arid irrigation district in the western Hexi Corridor, northwest China. Spatial clustering analysis identified 6 regionally representative central piezometers out of 30, for which sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were carried out regarding GWL predictions. As the stepwise cluster tree provided uncertain predictions, we added an AR(1) error model to the mean prediction to forecast GWL 1 month ahead. Model performance indicators suggest that the modeling system is a useful tool to aid decision-making for informed groundwater resource management in arid areas, and would have a great potential to extend its applications to more areas or regions in the future. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Groundwater level modeling Uncertainty SOM Stepwise cluster inference Autoregressive error model Hexi Corridor
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000383291600033
WOS关键词SELF-ORGANIZING MAPS ; NEURAL-NETWORK ; PRECIPITATION ; SIMULATIONS ; AQUIFER
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构清华大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/194362
作者单位1.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China;
2.Qinghai Univ, State Key Lab Plateau Ecol & Agr, Xining 810016, Peoples R China;
3.McMaster Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada;
4.Univ Regina, Inst Energy Environm & Sustainable Communities, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Han, Jing-Cheng,Huang, Yuefei,Li, Zhong,et al. Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model[J]. 清华大学,2016,182:308-321.
APA Han, Jing-Cheng,Huang, Yuefei,Li, Zhong,Zhao, Chunhong,Cheng, Guanhui,&Huang, Pengfei.(2016).Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,182,308-321.
MLA Han, Jing-Cheng,et al."Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 182(2016):308-321.
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