Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.07.069 |
Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model | |
Han, Jing-Cheng1; Huang, Yuefei1,2; Li, Zhong3; Zhao, Chunhong1; Cheng, Guanhui4; Huang, Pengfei1 | |
通讯作者 | Han, Jing-Cheng |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
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ISSN | 0301-4797 |
EISSN | 1095-8630 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 182页码:308-321 |
英文摘要 | Accurate groundwater level (GWL) prediction can contribute to sustaining reliable water supply to domestic, agricultural and industrial uses as well as ecological services, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. In this paper, a regional GWL modeling framework was first presented through coupling both spatial and temporal clustering techniques. Specifically, the self-organizing map (SOM) was applied to identify spatially homogeneous clusters of GWL piezometers, while GWL time series forecasting was performed through developing a stepwise cluster multisite inference model with various predictors including climate conditions, well extractions, surface runoffs, reservoir operations and GWL measurements at previous steps. The proposed modeling approach was then demonstrated by a case of an arid irrigation district in the western Hexi Corridor, northwest China. Spatial clustering analysis identified 6 regionally representative central piezometers out of 30, for which sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were carried out regarding GWL predictions. As the stepwise cluster tree provided uncertain predictions, we added an AR(1) error model to the mean prediction to forecast GWL 1 month ahead. Model performance indicators suggest that the modeling system is a useful tool to aid decision-making for informed groundwater resource management in arid areas, and would have a great potential to extend its applications to more areas or regions in the future. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Groundwater level modeling Uncertainty SOM Stepwise cluster inference Autoregressive error model Hexi Corridor |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China ; Canada |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000383291600033 |
WOS关键词 | SELF-ORGANIZING MAPS ; NEURAL-NETWORK ; PRECIPITATION ; SIMULATIONS ; AQUIFER |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | 清华大学 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/194362 |
作者单位 | 1.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China; 2.Qinghai Univ, State Key Lab Plateau Ecol & Agr, Xining 810016, Peoples R China; 3.McMaster Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L7, Canada; 4.Univ Regina, Inst Energy Environm & Sustainable Communities, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Han, Jing-Cheng,Huang, Yuefei,Li, Zhong,et al. Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model[J]. 清华大学,2016,182:308-321. |
APA | Han, Jing-Cheng,Huang, Yuefei,Li, Zhong,Zhao, Chunhong,Cheng, Guanhui,&Huang, Pengfei.(2016).Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,182,308-321. |
MLA | Han, Jing-Cheng,et al."Groundwater level prediction using a SOM-aided stepwise cluster inference model".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 182(2016):308-321. |
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Groundwater level pr(5419KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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