Arid
DOI10.1111/1365-2656.12511
Host contact and shedding patterns clarify variation in pathogen exposure and transmission in threatened tortoise Gopherus agassizii: implications for disease modelling and management
Aiello, Christina M.1,2; Nussear, Kenneth E.3; Esque, Todd C.2; Emblidge, Patrick G.1; Sah, Pratha4; Bansal, Shweta4,5; Hudson, Peter J.1
通讯作者Aiello, Christina M.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY
ISSN0021-8790
EISSN1365-2656
出版年2016
卷号85期号:3页码:829-842
英文摘要

Most directly transmitted infections require some form of close contact between infectious and susceptible hosts to spread. Often disease models assume contacts are equal and use mean field estimates of transmission probability for all interactions with infectious hosts. Such methods may inaccurately describe transmission when interactions differ substantially in their ability to cause infection. Understanding this variation in transmission risk may be critical to properly model and manage some infectious diseases. In this study, we investigate how varying exposure and transmission may be key to understanding disease dynamics in the threatened desert tortoise Gopherus agassizii. We created heterogeneity in Mycoplasma agassizii exposure (the putative bacterial agent of a respiratory disease) by varying the duration of interactions between naturally infected and uninfected captive desert tortoises. Using qPCR, we identified new infections and compared models of transmission probability as a function of contact duration and pathogen load. We then examined the contact patterns of a wild tortoise population using proximity loggers to identify heterogeneity in contact duration. The top-ranked model predicting M.agassizii transmission included a dose term defined as the product of the number of days in proximity to an infected host and the infection level of that host. Models predicted low transmission probability for short interactions, unless the infectious host had a high load of M.agassizii: such hosts were predicted to transmit infection at higher rates with any amount of contact. We observed predominantly short-lived interactions in a free-ranging tortoise population and thus, expect transmission patterns in this population to vary considerably with the frequency and duration of high infection levels. Mean field models may misrepresent natural transmission patterns in this and other populations depending on the distribution of high-risk contact and shedding events. Rapid outbreaks in generally solitary species may result from changes to their naturally low-risk contact patterns or due to increases in the frequency of severe infections or super-shedding events - population characteristics that should be further investigated to develop effective management strategies.


英文关键词contact heterogeneity detecting infection infectiousness per-contact transmission probability social behaviour upper respiratory tract disease wildlife disease ecology
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000375121400023
WOS关键词RESPIRATORY-TRACT DISEASE ; MYCOPLASMA-AGASSIZII ; DESERT TORTOISES ; SOCIAL NETWORKS ; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES ; MOJAVE DESERT ; WILDLIFE ; PREVALENCE ; DYNAMICS ; GALLISEPTICUM
WOS类目Ecology ; Zoology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Zoology
来源机构United States Geological Survey
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193982
作者单位1.Penn State Univ, Dept Biol, University Pk, PA 16802 USA;
2.US Geol Survey, Western Ecol Res Ctr, Las Vegas Field Stn, 160 N Stephanie St, Henderson, NV 89074 USA;
3.Univ Nevada, Dept Geog, Reno, NV 89557 USA;
4.Georgetown Univ, Dept Biol, Washington, DC 20057 USA;
5.NIH, Fogarty Int Ctr, Bldg 10, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA
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Aiello, Christina M.,Nussear, Kenneth E.,Esque, Todd C.,et al. Host contact and shedding patterns clarify variation in pathogen exposure and transmission in threatened tortoise Gopherus agassizii: implications for disease modelling and management[J]. United States Geological Survey,2016,85(3):829-842.
APA Aiello, Christina M..,Nussear, Kenneth E..,Esque, Todd C..,Emblidge, Patrick G..,Sah, Pratha.,...&Hudson, Peter J..(2016).Host contact and shedding patterns clarify variation in pathogen exposure and transmission in threatened tortoise Gopherus agassizii: implications for disease modelling and management.JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY,85(3),829-842.
MLA Aiello, Christina M.,et al."Host contact and shedding patterns clarify variation in pathogen exposure and transmission in threatened tortoise Gopherus agassizii: implications for disease modelling and management".JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY 85.3(2016):829-842.
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