Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.4374
A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends
El Kenawy, Ahmed M.1,2; McCabe, Matthew F.1
通讯作者El Kenawy, Ahmed M.
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2016
卷号36期号:2页码:656-674
英文摘要

Many arid and semi-arid regions have sparse precipitation observing networks, which limits the capacity for detailed hydrological modelling, water resources management and flood forecasting efforts. The objective of this work is to evaluate the utility of relatively high-spatial resolution rainfall products to reproduce observed multi-decadal rainfall characteristics such as climatologies, anomalies and trends over Saudi Arabia. Our study compares the statistical characteristics of rainfall from 53 observatories over the reference period 1965-2005, with rainfall data from six widely used gauge-based products, including APHRODITE, GPCC, PRINCETON, UDEL, CRU and PREC/L. In addition, the performance of three global climate models (GCMs), including CCSM4, EC-EARTH and MRI-I-CGCM3, integrated as part of the Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), was also evaluated. Results indicate that the gauge-based products were generally skillful in reproducing rainfall characteristics in Saudi Arabia. In most cases, the gauge-based products were also able to capture the annual cycle, anomalies and climatologies of observed data, although significant inter-product variability was observed, depending on the assessment metric being used. In comparison, the GCM-based products generally exhibited poor performance, with larger biases and very weak correlations, particularly during the summertime. Importantly, all products generally failed to reproduce the observed long-term seasonal and annual trends in the region, particularly during the dry seasons (summer and autumn). Overall, this work suggests that selected gauge-based products with daily (APHRODITE and PRINCETON) and monthly (GPCC and CRU) resolutions show superior performance relative to other products, implying that they may be the most appropriate data source from which multi-decadal variations of rainfall can be investigated at the regional scale over Saudi Arabia. Discriminating these skillful products is important not only for reducing uncertainty in climate, hydrological and environmental assessments but also for advancing model developments in the region.


英文关键词rainfall gauge-based products global climate models trends cross-tabulation Saudi Arabia
类型Article
语种英语
国家Saudi Arabia ; Egypt
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000369991700010
WOS关键词MIDDLE-EAST ; MONSOON PRECIPITATION ; REGIONAL CLIMATE ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOLUTION ; INTERPOLATION ; VARIABILITY ; DROUGHT ; DATASET ; SPAIN
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193698
作者单位1.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Div Biol & Environm Sci & Engn, Water Desalinat & Reuse Ctr, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia;
2.Mansoura Univ, Dept Geog, Mansoura, Egypt
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El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,McCabe, Matthew F.. A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends[J],2016,36(2):656-674.
APA El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,&McCabe, Matthew F..(2016).A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,36(2),656-674.
MLA El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,et al."A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 36.2(2016):656-674.
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