Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/joc.4374 |
A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends | |
El Kenawy, Ahmed M.1,2; McCabe, Matthew F.1 | |
通讯作者 | El Kenawy, Ahmed M. |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 36期号:2页码:656-674 |
英文摘要 | Many arid and semi-arid regions have sparse precipitation observing networks, which limits the capacity for detailed hydrological modelling, water resources management and flood forecasting efforts. The objective of this work is to evaluate the utility of relatively high-spatial resolution rainfall products to reproduce observed multi-decadal rainfall characteristics such as climatologies, anomalies and trends over Saudi Arabia. Our study compares the statistical characteristics of rainfall from 53 observatories over the reference period 1965-2005, with rainfall data from six widely used gauge-based products, including APHRODITE, GPCC, PRINCETON, UDEL, CRU and PREC/L. In addition, the performance of three global climate models (GCMs), including CCSM4, EC-EARTH and MRI-I-CGCM3, integrated as part of the Fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), was also evaluated. Results indicate that the gauge-based products were generally skillful in reproducing rainfall characteristics in Saudi Arabia. In most cases, the gauge-based products were also able to capture the annual cycle, anomalies and climatologies of observed data, although significant inter-product variability was observed, depending on the assessment metric being used. In comparison, the GCM-based products generally exhibited poor performance, with larger biases and very weak correlations, particularly during the summertime. Importantly, all products generally failed to reproduce the observed long-term seasonal and annual trends in the region, particularly during the dry seasons (summer and autumn). Overall, this work suggests that selected gauge-based products with daily (APHRODITE and PRINCETON) and monthly (GPCC and CRU) resolutions show superior performance relative to other products, implying that they may be the most appropriate data source from which multi-decadal variations of rainfall can be investigated at the regional scale over Saudi Arabia. Discriminating these skillful products is important not only for reducing uncertainty in climate, hydrological and environmental assessments but also for advancing model developments in the region. |
英文关键词 | rainfall gauge-based products global climate models trends cross-tabulation Saudi Arabia |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Saudi Arabia ; Egypt |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000369991700010 |
WOS关键词 | MIDDLE-EAST ; MONSOON PRECIPITATION ; REGIONAL CLIMATE ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOLUTION ; INTERPOLATION ; VARIABILITY ; DROUGHT ; DATASET ; SPAIN |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193698 |
作者单位 | 1.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Div Biol & Environm Sci & Engn, Water Desalinat & Reuse Ctr, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; 2.Mansoura Univ, Dept Geog, Mansoura, Egypt |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,McCabe, Matthew F.. A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends[J],2016,36(2):656-674. |
APA | El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,&McCabe, Matthew F..(2016).A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,36(2),656-674. |
MLA | El Kenawy, Ahmed M.,et al."A multi-decadal assessment of the performance of gauge- and model-based rainfall products over Saudi Arabia: climatology, anomalies and trends".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 36.2(2016):656-674. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
A multi-decadal asse(10016KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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