Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.4377
Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns in South Africa’s national parks
van Wilgen, Nicola J.1; Goodall, Victoria2,3; Holness, Stephen4,5; Chown, Steven L.6; McGeoch, Melodie A.1,6
通讯作者van Wilgen, Nicola J.
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2016
卷号36期号:2页码:706-721
英文摘要

Air temperatures have increased globally over the past decades, while rainfall changes have been more variable, but are taking place. In South Africa, substantial climate-related impacts are predicted, and protected area management agencies will need to respond actively to impacts. It is critical for management agencies to understand the way in which climate is changing locally to predict impacts and respond appropriately. Here, for the first time, we quantify observable changes in temperature and rainfall in South African national parks over the past five to ten decades. Our results show significant increases in temperatures in most parks, with increases being most rapid in the arid regions of the country. Increases in the frequency of extreme high temperature events were also most pronounced in these regions. These results are consistent with other climate studies conducted in these areas. Similar increases were identified for both minimum and maximum temperatures, though absolute minimum temperatures increased at greater rates than absolute maxima. Overall, rainfall trends were less obvious, but a decrease in rainfall was observed for the southern Cape (in three parks), and an increase was detected in one park. The observed temperature changes over the last 20-50 years have in several instances already reached those predicted for near future scenarios (2035), indicating that change scenarios are conservative. These results provide individual parks with evidence-based direction for managing impacts under current and projected changes in local climate. They also provide the management agency with sub-regional information to tailor policy and impact monitoring. Importantly, our results highlight the critical role that individual weather stations play in informing local land management and the concerns for parks that have no local information on changes in climate.


英文关键词climate change protected area management rainfall variation South Africa temperature increase weather station data
类型Review
语种英语
国家South Africa ; Australia
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000369991700013
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PROTECTED AREAS ; BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION ; SPECIES RICHNESS ; GLOBAL CHANGE ; RANGE SHIFTS ; TRENDS ; MANAGEMENT ; PRECIPITATION ; VULNERABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193695
作者单位1.South African Natl Parks, Ctr Invas Biol, Cape Res Ctr, POB 216, ZA-7947 Steenberg, South Africa;
2.SAEON, Fynbos Node, Claremont, South Africa;
3.Nelson Mandela Metropolitan Univ, Dept Stat, Port Elizabeth, South Africa;
4.South African Natl Parks Pk Planning & Dev, Conservat Serv, Port Elizabeth, South Africa;
5.Nelson Mandela Metropolitan Univ, Dept Zool, Ctr African Conservat Ecol, Port Elizabeth, South Africa;
6.Monash Univ, Sch Biol Sci, Clayton, Vic 3800, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
van Wilgen, Nicola J.,Goodall, Victoria,Holness, Stephen,等. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns in South Africa’s national parks[J],2016,36(2):706-721.
APA van Wilgen, Nicola J.,Goodall, Victoria,Holness, Stephen,Chown, Steven L.,&McGeoch, Melodie A..(2016).Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns in South Africa’s national parks.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,36(2),706-721.
MLA van Wilgen, Nicola J.,et al."Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns in South Africa’s national parks".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 36.2(2016):706-721.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[van Wilgen, Nicola J.]的文章
[Goodall, Victoria]的文章
[Holness, Stephen]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[van Wilgen, Nicola J.]的文章
[Goodall, Victoria]的文章
[Holness, Stephen]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[van Wilgen, Nicola J.]的文章
[Goodall, Victoria]的文章
[Holness, Stephen]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。