Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1080/02626667.2015.1085991 |
Pre-processing of data-driven river flow forecasting models by singular value decomposition (SVD) technique | |
Chitsaz, Nastaran1; Azarnivand, Ali2; Araghinejad, Shahab2 | |
通讯作者 | Chitsaz, Nastaran |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
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ISSN | 0262-6667 |
EISSN | 2150-3435 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 61期号:12页码:2164-2178 |
英文摘要 | An appropriate streamflow forecasting method is a prerequisite for implementation of efficient water resources management in the water-limited, arid regions that occupy much of Iran. In the current research, monthly streamflow forecasting was combined with three data-driven methods based on large input datasets involving 11 precipitation stations, a natural streamflow, and four climate indices through a long period. The major challenges of rainfall-runoff modelling are generally attributed to complex interacting processes, the large number of variables, and strong nonlinearity. The sensitivity of data-driven methods to the dimension of input/output datasets would be another challenge, so large datasets should be compressed into independently standardized principal components. In this study, three pre-processing techniques were applied: singular value decomposition (SVD) provided more efficient forecasts in comparison to principal component analysis (PCA) and average values of inputs in all networks. Among the data-driven methods, the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) with 1-month lag-time outperformed radial basis and fuzzy-based networks. In general, an increase in monthly lag-time of streamflow forecasting resulted in a decline in forecasting accuracy. The results reveal that SVD was highly effective in pre-processing of data-driven evaluations. |
英文关键词 | river flow forecasting data-driven models pre-processing singular value decomposition (SVD) large-scale atmospheric circulation |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Iran |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000382256600002 |
WOS关键词 | ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM ; SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; TIME-SERIES ; INTELLIGENCE METHODS ; ANFIS MODELS ; RAINFALL ; PREDICTION ; PRECIPITATION ; OSCILLATION |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193485 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Tehran, Dept Irrigat & Drainage Engn, Tehran, Iran; 2.Univ Tehran, Dept Irrigat & Reclamat Engn, Karaj, Iran |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chitsaz, Nastaran,Azarnivand, Ali,Araghinejad, Shahab. Pre-processing of data-driven river flow forecasting models by singular value decomposition (SVD) technique[J],2016,61(12):2164-2178. |
APA | Chitsaz, Nastaran,Azarnivand, Ali,&Araghinejad, Shahab.(2016).Pre-processing of data-driven river flow forecasting models by singular value decomposition (SVD) technique.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES,61(12),2164-2178. |
MLA | Chitsaz, Nastaran,et al."Pre-processing of data-driven river flow forecasting models by singular value decomposition (SVD) technique".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES 61.12(2016):2164-2178. |
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