Arid
DOI10.1002/hyp.10693
Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012
Ryberg, Karen R.1,2; Akyuez, F. Adnan3; Wiche, Gregg J.4; Lin, Wei5
通讯作者Ryberg, Karen R.
来源期刊HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
ISSN0885-6087
EISSN1099-1085
出版年2016
卷号30期号:8页码:1208-1218
英文摘要

Changes in the seasonality and timing of annual peak streamflow in the north-central USA are likely because of changes in precipitation and temperature regimes. A source of long-term information about flood events across the study area is the U.S. Geological Survey peak streamflow database. However, one challenge of answering climate-related questions with this dataset is that even in snowmelt-dominated areas, it is a mixed population of snowmelt/spring rain generated peaks and summer/fall rain generated peaks. Therefore, a process was developed to divide the annual peaks into two populations, or seasons, snowmelt/spring, and summer/fall. The two series were then tested for the hypotheses that because of changes in precipitation regimes, the odds of summer/fall peaks have increased and, because of temperature changes, snowmelt/spring peaks happen earlier. Over climatologically and geographically similar regions in the north-central USA, logistic regression was used to model the odds of getting a summer/fall peak. When controlling for antecedent wet and dry conditions and geographical differences, the odds of summer/fall peaks occurring have increased across the study area. With respect to timing within the seasons, trend analysis showed that in northern portions of the study region, snowmelt/spring peaks are occurring earlier. The timing of snowmelt/spring peaks in three regions in the northern part of the study area is earlier by 8.7- 14.3days. These changes have implications for water interests, such as potential changes in lead-time for flood forecasting or changes in the operation of flood-control dams. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


英文关键词peak streamflow timing seasonality snowmelt climate trend analysis Great Plains
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000373959500004
WOS关键词TRENDS ; RUNOFF ; VARIABILITY ; FLOODS ; FLOWS
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
来源机构United States Geological Survey
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193440
作者单位1.US Geol Survey, 821 E Interstate Ave, Bismarck, ND 58503 USA;
2.N Dakota State Univ, Environm & Conservat Sci Program, 218 Stevens Hall, Fargo, ND 58105 USA;
3.N Dakota State Univ, North Dakota State Climatologist, POB 6050, Fargo, ND 58108 USA;
4.US Geol Survey, North Dakota Water Sci Ctr, 821 E Interstate Ave, Bismarck, ND 58503 USA;
5.N Dakota State Univ, Civil & Environm Engn, POB 6050, Fargo, ND 58018 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ryberg, Karen R.,Akyuez, F. Adnan,Wiche, Gregg J.,et al. Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012[J]. United States Geological Survey,2016,30(8):1208-1218.
APA Ryberg, Karen R.,Akyuez, F. Adnan,Wiche, Gregg J.,&Lin, Wei.(2016).Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,30(8),1208-1218.
MLA Ryberg, Karen R.,et al."Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 30.8(2016):1208-1218.
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