Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/hyp.10693 |
Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012 | |
Ryberg, Karen R.1,2; Akyuez, F. Adnan3; Wiche, Gregg J.4; Lin, Wei5 | |
通讯作者 | Ryberg, Karen R. |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
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ISSN | 0885-6087 |
EISSN | 1099-1085 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 30期号:8页码:1208-1218 |
英文摘要 | Changes in the seasonality and timing of annual peak streamflow in the north-central USA are likely because of changes in precipitation and temperature regimes. A source of long-term information about flood events across the study area is the U.S. Geological Survey peak streamflow database. However, one challenge of answering climate-related questions with this dataset is that even in snowmelt-dominated areas, it is a mixed population of snowmelt/spring rain generated peaks and summer/fall rain generated peaks. Therefore, a process was developed to divide the annual peaks into two populations, or seasons, snowmelt/spring, and summer/fall. The two series were then tested for the hypotheses that because of changes in precipitation regimes, the odds of summer/fall peaks have increased and, because of temperature changes, snowmelt/spring peaks happen earlier. Over climatologically and geographically similar regions in the north-central USA, logistic regression was used to model the odds of getting a summer/fall peak. When controlling for antecedent wet and dry conditions and geographical differences, the odds of summer/fall peaks occurring have increased across the study area. With respect to timing within the seasons, trend analysis showed that in northern portions of the study region, snowmelt/spring peaks are occurring earlier. The timing of snowmelt/spring peaks in three regions in the northern part of the study area is earlier by 8.7- 14.3days. These changes have implications for water interests, such as potential changes in lead-time for flood forecasting or changes in the operation of flood-control dams. Copyright (c) 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
英文关键词 | peak streamflow timing seasonality snowmelt climate trend analysis Great Plains |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000373959500004 |
WOS关键词 | TRENDS ; RUNOFF ; VARIABILITY ; FLOODS ; FLOWS |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
来源机构 | United States Geological Survey |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193440 |
作者单位 | 1.US Geol Survey, 821 E Interstate Ave, Bismarck, ND 58503 USA; 2.N Dakota State Univ, Environm & Conservat Sci Program, 218 Stevens Hall, Fargo, ND 58105 USA; 3.N Dakota State Univ, North Dakota State Climatologist, POB 6050, Fargo, ND 58108 USA; 4.US Geol Survey, North Dakota Water Sci Ctr, 821 E Interstate Ave, Bismarck, ND 58503 USA; 5.N Dakota State Univ, Civil & Environm Engn, POB 6050, Fargo, ND 58018 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ryberg, Karen R.,Akyuez, F. Adnan,Wiche, Gregg J.,et al. Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012[J]. United States Geological Survey,2016,30(8):1208-1218. |
APA | Ryberg, Karen R.,Akyuez, F. Adnan,Wiche, Gregg J.,&Lin, Wei.(2016).Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012.HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,30(8),1208-1218. |
MLA | Ryberg, Karen R.,et al."Changes in seasonality and timing of peak streamflow in snow and semi-arid climates of the north-central United States, 1910-2012".HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES 30.8(2016):1208-1218. |
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