Arid
DOI10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.07.008
Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran
Modarres, Reza1; Sarhadi, Ali2; Burn, Donald H.2
通讯作者Sarhadi, Ali
来源期刊GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
ISSN0921-8181
EISSN1872-6364
出版年2016
卷号144页码:67-81
英文摘要

Located in an arid and semi-arid region of the world, Iran has experienced many extreme flood and drought events in the last and current century. The present study aims to assess the changes in Iran’s flood magnitude and drought severity for 1950-2010, with some time span variation in some stations. The Mann-Kendall test for monotonic trend was first applied to assess changes in flood and drought severity data. In addition, to consider the effect of serial correlation, two Pre-Whitening Trend (PWT) tests were also applied. It was observed that the number of stations with statistically significant trends has increased after applying PWT tests. Both increasing and decreasing trends were observed for drought severity and flood magnitude in different climate regions and major basins of Iran using these tests. The increase in flood magnitude and drought severity can be attributed partly to land use changes, an annual rainfall negative trend, a maximum rainfall increasing trend, and inappropriate water resources management policies. The paper indicates a critical situation related to extreme climate change in Iran and the increasing risk of environmental changes in the 21st century. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Trend Mann-Kendall Serial correlation Climate change Flood Drought Iran
类型Article
语种英语
国家Iran ; Canada
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000383312700006
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION TRENDS ; BAYESIAN-ANALYSIS ; SPATIAL-PATTERNS ; RAINFALL EVENTS ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Physical Geography ; Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193314
作者单位1.Isfahan Univ Technol, Dept Nat Resources, Esfahan 8415683111, Iran;
2.Univ Waterloo, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
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GB/T 7714
Modarres, Reza,Sarhadi, Ali,Burn, Donald H.. Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran[J],2016,144:67-81.
APA Modarres, Reza,Sarhadi, Ali,&Burn, Donald H..(2016).Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran.GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,144,67-81.
MLA Modarres, Reza,et al."Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran".GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 144(2016):67-81.
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