Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.07.008 |
Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran | |
Modarres, Reza1; Sarhadi, Ali2; Burn, Donald H.2 | |
通讯作者 | Sarhadi, Ali |
来源期刊 | GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
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ISSN | 0921-8181 |
EISSN | 1872-6364 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 144页码:67-81 |
英文摘要 | Located in an arid and semi-arid region of the world, Iran has experienced many extreme flood and drought events in the last and current century. The present study aims to assess the changes in Iran’s flood magnitude and drought severity for 1950-2010, with some time span variation in some stations. The Mann-Kendall test for monotonic trend was first applied to assess changes in flood and drought severity data. In addition, to consider the effect of serial correlation, two Pre-Whitening Trend (PWT) tests were also applied. It was observed that the number of stations with statistically significant trends has increased after applying PWT tests. Both increasing and decreasing trends were observed for drought severity and flood magnitude in different climate regions and major basins of Iran using these tests. The increase in flood magnitude and drought severity can be attributed partly to land use changes, an annual rainfall negative trend, a maximum rainfall increasing trend, and inappropriate water resources management policies. The paper indicates a critical situation related to extreme climate change in Iran and the increasing risk of environmental changes in the 21st century. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Trend Mann-Kendall Serial correlation Climate change Flood Drought Iran |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Iran ; Canada |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000383312700006 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION TRENDS ; BAYESIAN-ANALYSIS ; SPATIAL-PATTERNS ; RAINFALL EVENTS ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY |
WOS类目 | Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Geology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/193314 |
作者单位 | 1.Isfahan Univ Technol, Dept Nat Resources, Esfahan 8415683111, Iran; 2.Univ Waterloo, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Modarres, Reza,Sarhadi, Ali,Burn, Donald H.. Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran[J],2016,144:67-81. |
APA | Modarres, Reza,Sarhadi, Ali,&Burn, Donald H..(2016).Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran.GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE,144,67-81. |
MLA | Modarres, Reza,et al."Changes of extreme drought and flood events in Iran".GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 144(2016):67-81. |
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