Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.04.006 |
A spatially explicit agent-based modeling approach for the spread of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis disease in central Iran, Isfahan | |
Rajabi, Mohammadreza1; Pilesjo, Petter1; Shirzadi, Mohammad Reza2; Fadaei, Reza3; Mansourian, Ali1 | |
通讯作者 | Rajabi, Mohammadreza |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
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ISSN | 1364-8152 |
EISSN | 1873-6726 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 82页码:330-346 |
英文摘要 | Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (CL) is an endemic vector-borne disease in the Middle East and a worldwide public health problem. The spread of CL is highly associated with the socio-ecological interactions of vectors, hosts and the environment. The heterogeneity of these interactions has hindered CL modeling for healthcare preventive measures in endemic areas. In this study, an agent-based model (ABM) is developed to simulate the dynamics of CL spread based on a Geographic Automata System (GAS). A Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) approach together with Bayesian modeling has been applied in the ABM to explore the spread of CL. The model is then adapted locally for Isfahan Province, an endemic area in central Iran. The results from the model indicate that desertification areas are the main origin of CL, and riverside population centers have the potential to host more sand fly exposures and should receive more preventive measures from healthcare authorities. The results also show that healthcare service accessibility prevented exposures from becoming infected and areas with new inhabitants experienced more infections from same amount of sand fly exposures. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Agent-based model Disease modeling Socio-ecological interactions |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden ; Iran |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000378954000024 |
WOS关键词 | SAND FLIES DIPTERA ; VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES ; ENVIRONMENTAL-FACTORS ; RISK ; PSYCHODIDAE ; FOCUS ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; DYNAMICS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; UNCERTAINTY |
WOS类目 | Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Computer Science ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192742 |
作者单位 | 1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, GIS Ctr, Lund, Sweden; 2.Minist Hlth, Ctr Communicable Dis Control, Zoonoses Control Dept, Tehran, Iran; 3.Isfahan Univ Med Sci, Infect Dis & Trop Med Res Ctr, Esfahan, Iran |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rajabi, Mohammadreza,Pilesjo, Petter,Shirzadi, Mohammad Reza,et al. A spatially explicit agent-based modeling approach for the spread of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis disease in central Iran, Isfahan[J],2016,82:330-346. |
APA | Rajabi, Mohammadreza,Pilesjo, Petter,Shirzadi, Mohammad Reza,Fadaei, Reza,&Mansourian, Ali.(2016).A spatially explicit agent-based modeling approach for the spread of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis disease in central Iran, Isfahan.ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE,82,330-346. |
MLA | Rajabi, Mohammadreza,et al."A spatially explicit agent-based modeling approach for the spread of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis disease in central Iran, Isfahan".ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE 82(2016):330-346. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
A spatially explicit(5507KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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