Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1 |
The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands | |
Abdi, A. M.1; Vrieling, A.2; Yengoh, G. T.3; Anyamba, A.4; Seaquist, J. W.1; Ummenhofer, C. C.5; Ardo, J.1 | |
通讯作者 | Abdi, A. M. |
来源期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 138期号:1-2页码:111-125 |
英文摘要 | Inter-annual climatic variability over a large portion of sub-Saharan Africa is under the influence of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Extreme variability in climate is a threat to rural livelihoods in sub-Saharan Africa, yet the role of ENSO in the balance between supply and demand of net primary productivity (NPP) over this region is unclear. Here, we analyze the impact of ENSO on this balance in a spatially explicit framework using gridded population data from the WorldPop project, satellite-derived data on NPP supply, and statistical data from the United Nations. Our analyses demonstrate that between 2000 and 2013 fluctuations in the supply of NPP associated with moderate ENSO events average +/- 2.8 g C m(-2) yr.(-1) across sub-Saharan drylands. The greatest sensitivity is in arid Southern Africa where a + 1 A degrees C change in the Nio-3.4 sea surface temperature index is associated with a mean change in NPP supply of -6.6 g C m(-2) yr.(-1). Concurrently, the population-driven trend in NPP demand averages 3.5 g C m(-2) yr.(-1) over the entire region with densely populated urban areas exhibiting the highest mean demand for NPP. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for the role ENSO plays in modulating the balance between supply and demand of NPP in sub-Saharan drylands. An important implication of these findings is that increase in NPP demand for socio-economic metabolism must be taken into account within the context of climate-modulated supply. |
英文关键词 | Sub-Saharan Africa Drylands El Nino-southern oscillation Net primary productivity Climate variability |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden ; Netherlands ; USA |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000382138400009 |
WOS关键词 | FOOD INSECURITY ; CLIMATE ; ECOSYSTEMS ; PATTERNS ; RAINFALL ; ETHIOPIA ; CHARCOAL ; ENSO |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192107 |
作者单位 | 1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, Solvegatan 12, S-22362 Lund, Sweden; 2.Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, POB 217, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands; 3.Lund Univ, Ctr Sustainabil Studies, S-22362 Lund, Sweden; 4.Natl Aeronaut & Space Adm, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Biospher Sci Lab, Greenbelt, MD USA; 5.Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Phys Oceanog, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Abdi, A. M.,Vrieling, A.,Yengoh, G. T.,et al. The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands[J],2016,138(1-2):111-125. |
APA | Abdi, A. M..,Vrieling, A..,Yengoh, G. T..,Anyamba, A..,Seaquist, J. W..,...&Ardo, J..(2016).The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands.CLIMATIC CHANGE,138(1-2),111-125. |
MLA | Abdi, A. M.,et al."The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands".CLIMATIC CHANGE 138.1-2(2016):111-125. |
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