Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-016-1730-1
The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands
Abdi, A. M.1; Vrieling, A.2; Yengoh, G. T.3; Anyamba, A.4; Seaquist, J. W.1; Ummenhofer, C. C.5; Ardo, J.1
通讯作者Abdi, A. M.
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2016
卷号138期号:1-2页码:111-125
英文摘要

Inter-annual climatic variability over a large portion of sub-Saharan Africa is under the influence of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Extreme variability in climate is a threat to rural livelihoods in sub-Saharan Africa, yet the role of ENSO in the balance between supply and demand of net primary productivity (NPP) over this region is unclear. Here, we analyze the impact of ENSO on this balance in a spatially explicit framework using gridded population data from the WorldPop project, satellite-derived data on NPP supply, and statistical data from the United Nations. Our analyses demonstrate that between 2000 and 2013 fluctuations in the supply of NPP associated with moderate ENSO events average +/- 2.8 g C m(-2) yr.(-1) across sub-Saharan drylands. The greatest sensitivity is in arid Southern Africa where a + 1 A degrees C change in the Nio-3.4 sea surface temperature index is associated with a mean change in NPP supply of -6.6 g C m(-2) yr.(-1). Concurrently, the population-driven trend in NPP demand averages 3.5 g C m(-2) yr.(-1) over the entire region with densely populated urban areas exhibiting the highest mean demand for NPP. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for the role ENSO plays in modulating the balance between supply and demand of NPP in sub-Saharan drylands. An important implication of these findings is that increase in NPP demand for socio-economic metabolism must be taken into account within the context of climate-modulated supply.


英文关键词Sub-Saharan Africa Drylands El Nino-southern oscillation Net primary productivity Climate variability
类型Article
语种英语
国家Sweden ; Netherlands ; USA
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000382138400009
WOS关键词FOOD INSECURITY ; CLIMATE ; ECOSYSTEMS ; PATTERNS ; RAINFALL ; ETHIOPIA ; CHARCOAL ; ENSO
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192107
作者单位1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, Solvegatan 12, S-22362 Lund, Sweden;
2.Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, POB 217, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands;
3.Lund Univ, Ctr Sustainabil Studies, S-22362 Lund, Sweden;
4.Natl Aeronaut & Space Adm, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Biospher Sci Lab, Greenbelt, MD USA;
5.Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Dept Phys Oceanog, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
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GB/T 7714
Abdi, A. M.,Vrieling, A.,Yengoh, G. T.,et al. The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands[J],2016,138(1-2):111-125.
APA Abdi, A. M..,Vrieling, A..,Yengoh, G. T..,Anyamba, A..,Seaquist, J. W..,...&Ardo, J..(2016).The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands.CLIMATIC CHANGE,138(1-2),111-125.
MLA Abdi, A. M.,et al."The El Nio - La Nia cycle and recent trends in supply and demand of net primary productivity in African drylands".CLIMATIC CHANGE 138.1-2(2016):111-125.
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