Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-016-1619-z |
Impacts of regional climate change on air quality projections and associated uncertainties | |
Lacressonniere, Gwendoline1,7,8; Foret, Gilles1; Beekmann, Matthias1; Siour, Guillaume1; Engardt, Magnuz2; Gauss, Michael3; Watson, Laura4,5; Andersson, Camilla2; Colette, Augustin6; Josse, Beatrice4,5; Marecal, Virginie4,5; Nyiri, Agnes3; Vautard, Robert7 | |
通讯作者 | Lacressonniere, Gwendoline |
来源期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2016 |
卷号 | 136期号:2页码:309-324 |
英文摘要 | A 2-degree global warming is likely to affect the production, deposition, and transport of air pollutants, leading to impacts on air quality and health. In the present study we use an ensemble of four regional chemistry-transport models, driven by meteorological data from different climate models, to assess such changes and their uncertainties for PM2.5 and SOMO35. Changes and uncertainties are compared to the inter-model variability. We find that the impact of regional climate change on PM2.5, averaged over the model ensemble, ranges from -0.5 mu g.m(-3) to +1.3 mu g.m(-3) over Europe. It mainly results from changes in natural and biogenic emissions, such as desert dust, sea salt and biogenic VOCs. Statistically significant decreases in PM2.5 are found over southwestern Russia and Ukraine as well as an increase over Southern Spain. Modeled changes in summer ozone levels range from -1.7 to 1.6 ppbv. We find a smaller ensemble-mean evolution of SOMO35 as compared to inter-model variability. We also investigate the uncertainty due to inter-decadal variability and find that 10-year periods may not be sufficient to allow the detection of statistically significant change signals. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France ; Sweden ; Norway |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000375683200011 |
WOS关键词 | PARTICULATE MATTER ; MODEL EVALUATION ; TRANSPORT MODEL ; NORTH-AMERICA ; EURO-CORDEX ; SIMULATIONS ; OZONE ; CHEMISTRY ; CHIMERE ; CONTEXT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192102 |
作者单位 | 1.CNRS INSU, IPSL LISA, Creteil, France; 2.SMHI, Norrkoping, Sweden; 3.Norwegian Meteorol Inst, EMEP MSC W, Oslo, Norway; 4.Meteo France, CNRM GAME, Toulouse, France; 5.CNRS, Toulouse, France; 6.INERIS, Verneuil En Halatte, France; 7.CEA CNRS UVSQ, IPSL LSCE, Gif Sur Yvette, France; 8.ARIA Technol, Boulogne, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lacressonniere, Gwendoline,Foret, Gilles,Beekmann, Matthias,et al. Impacts of regional climate change on air quality projections and associated uncertainties[J],2016,136(2):309-324. |
APA | Lacressonniere, Gwendoline.,Foret, Gilles.,Beekmann, Matthias.,Siour, Guillaume.,Engardt, Magnuz.,...&Vautard, Robert.(2016).Impacts of regional climate change on air quality projections and associated uncertainties.CLIMATIC CHANGE,136(2),309-324. |
MLA | Lacressonniere, Gwendoline,et al."Impacts of regional climate change on air quality projections and associated uncertainties".CLIMATIC CHANGE 136.2(2016):309-324. |
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