Arid
DOI10.1007/s10584-015-1522-z
Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century
Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba1; Elguindi, Nellie2; Giorgi, Filippo2; Wisser, Dominik3
通讯作者Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba
来源期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2016
卷号134期号:1-2页码:241-253
英文摘要

The response of West African climate zones to anthropogenic climate change during the late 21st century is investigated using the revised Thornthwaite climate classification applied to ensembles of CMIP5, CORDEX, and higher-resolution RegCM4 experiments (HIRES). The ensembles reproduce fairly well the observed climate zones, although with some notable discrepancies. CORDEX and HIRES provide realistic fine-scale information which enhances that from the coarser-scale CMIP5, especially in the Gulf of Guinea encompassing marked landcover and topography gradients. The late 21st century projections reveal an extension of torrid climates throughout West Africa. In addition, the Sahel, predominantly semi-arid in present-day conditions, is projected to face moderately persistent future arid climate. Similarly, the Gulf of Guinea shows a tendency in the future to experience highly seasonal semi-arid conditions. Finally, wet and moist regions with an extreme seasonality around orographic zones become less extensive under future climate change. Consequently, West Africa evolves towards increasingly torrid, arid and semi-arid regimes with the recession of moist and wet zones mostly because of the temperature forcing, although precipitation can be locally an important factor. These features are common to all multimodel ensembles, a sign of robustness, with few disagreements in their areal extents, and with more pronounced changes in the higher-resolution RCM projections. Such changes point towards an increased risk of water stress for managed and unmanaged ecosystems, and thus add an element of vulnerability to future anthropogenic climate change for West African water management, ecosystem services and agricultural activities.


类型Article
语种英语
国家Burkina Faso ; Italy ; Germany
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000367198900017
WOS关键词HIGH-RESOLUTION SIMULATIONS ; ANNUAL CYCLE ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; RAINFALL ; EVENTS ; CMIP5
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192100
作者单位1.WASCAL Competence Ctr, West African Sci Serv Ctr Climate Change & Adapte, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso;
2.Abdus Salam Int Ctr Theoret Phys ICTP, Earth Syst Phys ESP Sect, Trieste, Italy;
3.Univ Bonn, Ctr Dev Res ZEF, Bonn, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba,Elguindi, Nellie,Giorgi, Filippo,et al. Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century[J],2016,134(1-2):241-253.
APA Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba,Elguindi, Nellie,Giorgi, Filippo,&Wisser, Dominik.(2016).Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century.CLIMATIC CHANGE,134(1-2),241-253.
MLA Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba,et al."Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century".CLIMATIC CHANGE 134.1-2(2016):241-253.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba]的文章
[Elguindi, Nellie]的文章
[Giorgi, Filippo]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba]的文章
[Elguindi, Nellie]的文章
[Giorgi, Filippo]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Sylla, Mouhamadou Bamba]的文章
[Elguindi, Nellie]的文章
[Giorgi, Filippo]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。