Arid
DOI10.1007/s00382-015-2812-x
Modeling the potential contribution of land cover changes to the late twentieth century Sahel drought using a regional climate model: impact of lateral boundary conditions
Wang, Guiling1; Yu, Miao1,2; Xue, Yongkang3
通讯作者Wang, Guiling
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2016
卷号47期号:11页码:3457-3477
英文摘要

This paper investigates the potential impact of "idealized-but-realistic" land cover degradation on the late twentieth century Sahel drought using a regional climate model (RCM) driven with lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) from three different sources, including one re-analysis data and two global climate models (GCMs). The impact of land cover degradation is quantified based on a large number of control-and-experiment pairs of simulations, where the experiment features a degraded land cover relative to the control. Two different approaches of experimental design are tested: in the 1st approach, the RCM land cover degradation experiment shares the same LBCs as the corresponding RCM control, which can be derived from either reanalysis data or a GCM; with the 2nd approach, the LBCs for the RCM control are derived from a GCM control, and the LBCs for the RCM land cover degradation experiment are derived from a corresponding GCM land cover degradation experiment. When the 1st approach is used, results from the RCM driven with the three different sources of LBCs are generally consistent with each other, indicating robustness of the model response against LBCs; when the 2nd approach is used, the RCM results show strong sensitivity to the source of LBCs and the response in the RCM is dominated by the response of the driving GCMs. The spatiotemporal pattern of the precipitation response to land cover degradation as simulated by RCM using the 1st approach closely resembles that of the observed historical changes, while results from the GCMs and the RCM using the 2nd approach bear less similarity to observations. Compared with the 1st approach, the 2nd approach has the advantage of capturing the impact on large scale circulation, but has the disadvantage of being influenced by the GCMs’ internal variability and any potential erroneous response of the driving GCMs to land degradation. The 2nd approach therefore requires a large ensemble to reduce the uncertainties derived from the driving GCMs. All RCM experiments based on the 1st approach produce a predominantly dry signal in West Africa throughout the year, with a dipole pattern found in the peak monsoon season that features a slight increase of precipitation over the Guinea Coast and strong decrease in the north; a similar spatiotemporal distribution is found for temperature changes, with warming (cooling) coinciding with precipitation decrease (increase). The model precipitation changes in West Africa are dominated by evapotranspiration changes in the north and by atmospheric moisture convergence changes in the south; in temperature changes, surface warming due to the decrease of evaporative cooling dominates over the albedo-induced radiative cooling.


英文关键词Land use land cover changes Sahelian drought Dynamic downscaling Regional climate modeling Lateral boundary conditions WAMME II
类型Article
语种英语
国家USA ; Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000389349000005
WOS关键词WEST-AFRICA ; BIOSPHERE MODEL ; UNITED-STATES ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; RAINFALL ; PROJECTIONS ; DESERTIFICATION ; DYNAMICS ; ALBEDO
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构南京信息工程大学 ; University of California, Los Angeles
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/192083
作者单位1.Univ Connecticut, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ctr Environm Sci & Engn, Storrs, CT 06269 USA;
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Minist Educ, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Geog, Los Angeles, CA 90024 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Guiling,Yu, Miao,Xue, Yongkang. Modeling the potential contribution of land cover changes to the late twentieth century Sahel drought using a regional climate model: impact of lateral boundary conditions[J]. 南京信息工程大学, University of California, Los Angeles,2016,47(11):3457-3477.
APA Wang, Guiling,Yu, Miao,&Xue, Yongkang.(2016).Modeling the potential contribution of land cover changes to the late twentieth century Sahel drought using a regional climate model: impact of lateral boundary conditions.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,47(11),3457-3477.
MLA Wang, Guiling,et al."Modeling the potential contribution of land cover changes to the late twentieth century Sahel drought using a regional climate model: impact of lateral boundary conditions".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 47.11(2016):3457-3477.
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