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DOI10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.03.019
Parameter estimation for a simple two-source evapotranspiration model using Bayesian inference and its application to remotely sensed estimations of latent heat flux at the regional scale
Song, Yi1; Jin, Long2; Zhu, Gaofeng3; Ma, Mingguo4
通讯作者Song, Yi
来源期刊AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
ISSN0168-1923
EISSN1873-2240
出版年2016
卷号230页码:20-32
英文摘要

A simple two-source evapotranspiration (ET) model was applied to the Yingke and Daman irrigation districts of the Zhangye Oasis, which is located in the middle reaches of the Heihe River, China. The ET model was composed of two parts, including an evaporation (E) sub-model and a transpiration (T) sub-model. A separated parameter estimation scheme was conducted using Bayesian inference. First, an empirical multiplier was estimated for an E sub-model using observations that were collected after crop harvests. The empirical multiplier was then assigned to the most-likely value in the simple two-source ET model. Second, a global sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the key parameters that were responsible for most of the variability in the lambda ET results within the T sub-model. To avoid equifinality or over-parameterization, Bayesian inference was applied to estimate the key parameters that induced the most variability in the first set. A second set of Bayesian inference was then performed by fixing the most-likely values of these parameters, and the other parameters were defined one-by-one as Bayesian parameters. These parameters were estimated for seven sites. The coefficient of determination for the modeled lambda ET and the observed values exceeded 0.9. Next, a cluster analysis was conducted using the canopy height, leaf area index (LAI) and soil moisture content to classify the fields with the highest similarities and then to distribute the same parameter values to similar fields. Finally, lambda ET Was estimated using the most-likely values of the parameters at the regional scale. The root-mean-square error of the remotely sensed estimates was less than 20W m(-2), the mean absolute percent error did not exceed 4%, and the correlation coefficient was greater than 0.97. The validation was conducted for both the modeled lambda ET at the point scale and for the remotely sensed lambda ET at the satellite pixel scale. The results demonstrate that the separated parameter estimation scheme using Bayesian inference yields reasonable parameter values; using cluster analysis, the most-likely values of the parameters can be effectively applied to estimate remotely sensed lambda ET. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词ET Bayesian inference of parameters Regional scale
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000389731800003
WOS关键词SONIC ANEMOMETER ; EDDY-COVARIANCE ; FOREST MODELS ; WATER ; BALANCE ; TEMPERATURE ; UNCERTAINTY ; CALIBRATION ; GRASSLAND ; ALGORITHM
WOS类目Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构兰州大学 ; 中国科学院地球环境研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/191079
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Earth Environm, State Key Lab Loess & Quaternary Geol, 97 Yanxiang Rd, Xian 710061, Shaanxi Provinc, Peoples R China;
2.CCCC First Highway Consultants Co LTD, Key Lab Highway Construct Maintenance Technol Per, Minist Transport, Xian 710065, Peoples R China;
3.Lanzhou Univ, Ministry Educ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China;
4.Southwest Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Chongqing 400715, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Song, Yi,Jin, Long,Zhu, Gaofeng,et al. Parameter estimation for a simple two-source evapotranspiration model using Bayesian inference and its application to remotely sensed estimations of latent heat flux at the regional scale[J]. 兰州大学, 中国科学院地球环境研究所,2016,230:20-32.
APA Song, Yi,Jin, Long,Zhu, Gaofeng,&Ma, Mingguo.(2016).Parameter estimation for a simple two-source evapotranspiration model using Bayesian inference and its application to remotely sensed estimations of latent heat flux at the regional scale.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,230,20-32.
MLA Song, Yi,et al."Parameter estimation for a simple two-source evapotranspiration model using Bayesian inference and its application to remotely sensed estimations of latent heat flux at the regional scale".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 230(2016):20-32.
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