Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-015-1124-6
Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region
Bae, Deg-Hyo1; Koike, Toshio2; Awan, Jehangir Ashraf1; Lee, Moon-Hwan1; Sohn, Kyung-Hwan1
通讯作者Bae, Deg-Hyo
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2015
卷号29期号:14页码:5377-5393
英文摘要

This study investigated the future climate change impacts on water resources and delineated the highly susceptible zones in the Asian monsoon region. Three General Circulation Models (GCMs) were employed for future climate change projections. The change factor method with bilinear interpolation was used to project climate change at 0.5A degrees horizontal gird resolution. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrological model was employed to project runoff using future climate change scenarios. Average temperature, precipitation and runoff were projected to increase by all future periods i.e., 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. In particular by 2080s, they were projected to increase by 3.7 A degrees C, 10.7 and 11.1 %, respectively. Latitudinal and longitudinal analysis was performed to investigate the features of future climate change at different latitudes and longitudes. The climate change projections revealed susceptible regions in East Asia over southern China, and in South Asia over the Tibetan plateau, India and Pakistan. Southern China was projected to be adversely affected by climate change with precipitation and runoff increase during summer and autumn seasons, and decrease during winter and spring seasons. Similarly, distinct climate change features were projected over the Tibetan plateau and north Pakistan with significant increase of average annual temperature and decrease of average annual precipitation and runoff. This change is alarming for the world’s longest glaciers outside the Polar Regions. On the other hand, the precipitation and runoff were projected to significantly increase over southwest India and south Pakistan. That may have positive impact over extremely water-scarce regions i.e., the Thar Desert, the Cholistan Desert and the Kharan Desert, but also poses a serious threat to the flood prone areas of South India and Pakistan.


英文关键词Climate change Water resources Asian monsoon Susceptible regions
类型Article
语种英语
国家South Korea ; Japan
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000362422100028
WOS关键词MODEL ; SCENARIOS ; UTILITY
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/190779
作者单位1.Sejong Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Seoul 143747, South Korea;
2.Univ Tokyo, Dept Civil Engn, Sch Engn, Tokyo 113, Japan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bae, Deg-Hyo,Koike, Toshio,Awan, Jehangir Ashraf,et al. Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region[J],2015,29(14):5377-5393.
APA Bae, Deg-Hyo,Koike, Toshio,Awan, Jehangir Ashraf,Lee, Moon-Hwan,&Sohn, Kyung-Hwan.(2015).Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,29(14),5377-5393.
MLA Bae, Deg-Hyo,et al."Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 29.14(2015):5377-5393.
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