Arid
DOI10.1007/s11269-015-1031-x
A Method for Temporary Water Scarcity Analysis in Humid Region Under Droughts Condition
Shao, Dongguo; Li, Xudong; Gu, Wenquan
通讯作者Li, Xudong
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN0920-4741
EISSN1573-1650
出版年2015
卷号29期号:10页码:3823-3839
英文摘要

Water scarcity in China has long been discussed and studied, mostly in arid and semi-arid Northern China. However, temporary water scarcity caused by seasonal droughts hasn’t drawn enough attention still, while some humid regions in South China are readily to be encountered with seasonal droughts, especially in the background of climate change. In this study, a method based on System Dynamics (SD) and mathematical optimization is developed to analyze the situation of temporary water scarcity and optimize the water allocation under seasonal droughts, considering rapid urbanization, industrialization, and increasing food demand. And a case study in Nanchang Municipality, a typical humid region in Southern China, is presented. The simulation results show that conventional management scenarios including enforcing demand reduction strategies and increasing local water supply will not fill the water shortage gap, and the total water shortage rate will retain more than 9.0 % in special drought condition. Thus, we examine the water transfer scenario, and it proves to be effective in coping with the water shortage gap. The optimization results indicate that the water transferred from Ganjiang River to Fuhe River Water Demand Subsystem may account for 50.21 % of the total fresh water supply of Fuhe River Water Demand Subsystem, in September, under a certain drought condition. In addition, the current situation reveals fierce competition between social economic water needs and eco-environmental water requirements in local scale in dry condition. The situation argues that management of the distribution of water in space must be involved, and the simulation of the inter-basin transfer scenario proves it a necessary and effective countermeasure.


英文关键词Water scarcity Drought Urbanization Industrialization System dynamic Optimization
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000357345300022
WOS关键词POVERTY INDEX ; YELLOW-RIVER ; CHINA ; MANAGEMENT ; RESOURCES ; PERSPECTIVE ; FRAMEWORK ; SECURITY ; RISK
WOS类目Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/190770
作者单位Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shao, Dongguo,Li, Xudong,Gu, Wenquan. A Method for Temporary Water Scarcity Analysis in Humid Region Under Droughts Condition[J],2015,29(10):3823-3839.
APA Shao, Dongguo,Li, Xudong,&Gu, Wenquan.(2015).A Method for Temporary Water Scarcity Analysis in Humid Region Under Droughts Condition.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,29(10),3823-3839.
MLA Shao, Dongguo,et al."A Method for Temporary Water Scarcity Analysis in Humid Region Under Droughts Condition".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 29.10(2015):3823-3839.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Shao, Dongguo]的文章
[Li, Xudong]的文章
[Gu, Wenquan]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Shao, Dongguo]的文章
[Li, Xudong]的文章
[Gu, Wenquan]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Shao, Dongguo]的文章
[Li, Xudong]的文章
[Gu, Wenquan]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。